Gold has delivered exceptional performance with nearly 70 record highs since early 2024 and returns eight times greater than the S&P 500, driven by structural shifts beyond typical safe-haven demand. Central banks are systematically diversifying from U.S. dollar reserves due to fiscal concerns and sanctions risks, with the freezing of Russian assets triggering a five-fold surge in official sector buying.
China has doubled gold’s reserve allocation but still holds only 7% versus 70%+ for major Western nations, indicating substantial room for continued accumulation. Retail demand through ETFs remains robust, with Asian inflows now exceeding North American flows as trade tensions and local price gains drive Chinese investor interest.
Despite gold surpassing $3,500 in April – well above initial 2025 forecasts – analysts remain bullish with Goldman Sachs targeting $3,700 by year-end based on continued central bank demand and ETF inflows. Investment options extend beyond passive exposure through actively managed funds targeting undervalued mining equities and broader metals trusts positioned for structural trends like energy transition and AI infrastructure growth.