Goldman Sachs analysts argue that gold acts more like Manhattan real estate than oil. The reason: gold isn’t consumed like other commodities; it’s accumulated and passed between owners. With nearly 220,000 metric tons still in existence and annual supply adding just 1%, prices are determined by buyers’ willingness to hold. Two groups dominate the market: conviction buyers (central banks, ETFs, speculators) who buy regardless of price, and opportunistic buyers (emerging market households) who step in only when prices drop. Similar to Manhattan housing, where a fixed supply means the “marginal buyer” sets the price, conviction buyers explain about 70% of monthly gold price movements. With gold already up 27% this year, Goldman sees prices climbing to $3,700 by late 2025 and $4,000 by mid-2026.

What’s the Difference Between Money vs Currency?
Most people use the terms money and currency interchangeably—but they are not the same. This article explores the difference between money vs currency, why fiat currencies lose purchasing power over time, and why many investors consider gold as a long-term store of value.




