Gold and Silver Pull Back — Smart Money Buys When Others Wait 
Goldman Sachs analysts argue that gold acts more like Manhattan real estate than oil. The reason: gold isn’t consumed like other commodities; it’s accumulated and passed between owners. With nearly 220,000 metric tons still in existence and annual supply adding just 1%, prices are determined by buyers’ willingness to hold. Two groups dominate the market: conviction buyers (central banks, ETFs, speculators) who buy regardless of price, and opportunistic buyers (emerging market households) who step in only when prices drop. Similar to Manhattan housing, where a fixed supply means the “marginal buyer” sets the price, conviction buyers explain about 70% of monthly gold price movements. With gold already up 27% this year, Goldman sees prices climbing to $3,700 by late 2025 and $4,000 by mid-2026.
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Gold Price Prediction 2025: 5-Year Investment Outlook
Gold Price Prediction 2025: Gold has shattered records above $4,000 per ounce, fueled by central bank demand, inflation, and global uncertainty. With major banks now projecting $5,000 gold by 2026, investors are asking how much higher this bull market can go — and how to position their portfolios for the next five years.
October 28, 2025
