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Markets Skeptical of Fed’s ‘Transitory’ Inflation View

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled two potential interest rate cuts this year, adopting a dovish stance that surprised investors concerned about stagflation.

The Fed’s base case assumes tariff-induced inflation will be “transitory” with only a short-term impact on prices, projecting inflation to reach 2.7% by year-end before returning to its 2% target by 2027.

However, experts warn this outlook may be unrealistic given Trump administration trade policy uncertainties. Despite the Fed’s cautious projections, markets are pricing in three cuts instead of two, though analysts advise investors to focus on fundamentals like earnings growth rather than Fed forecasts given the highly uncertain economic environment.

gold Federal Reserve policy uncertainty
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The Fed Is Stuck. Here’s What That Means for Gold.

Iran’s parliamentary speaker says the U.S. violated the ceasefire within hours. Fed minutes show policymakers split on cuts vs. hikes. And gold has historically moved when the Fed can’t signal its next step — a pattern playing out right now.

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numismatic vs bullion coins
Articles

Numismatic vs. Bullion Coins: Know What You’re Buying 

Not all gold and silver coins are created equal. The numismatic vs. bullion coins decision shapes what you pay, how easily you can sell, and how directly your investment tracks the metal itself. Here’s a clear breakdown of both — and what belongs in a serious portfolio.

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how does the Federal Reserve create money
Videos

How Does the Federal Reserve Actually Create Money? 

Most people assume money is printed at a mint and backed by something real. The truth is stranger. The U.S. dollar is created through debt, multiplied through bank lending, and sustained by collective agreement. Here’s how the system actually works.

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Latest News

gold Federal Reserve policy uncertainty
News

The Fed Is Stuck. Here’s What That Means for Gold.

Iran’s parliamentary speaker says the U.S. violated the ceasefire within hours. Fed minutes show policymakers split on cuts vs. hikes. And gold has historically moved when the Fed can’t signal its next step — a pattern playing out right now.

Read More »
how does the Federal Reserve create money
Videos

How Does the Federal Reserve Actually Create Money? 

Most people assume money is printed at a mint and backed by something real. The truth is stranger. The U.S. dollar is created through debt, multiplied through bank lending, and sustained by collective agreement. Here’s how the system actually works.

Read More »
gold price Iran ceasefire
News

Iran Ceasefire Sends Gold to $4,800 — Now What? 

Gold is pushing toward $4,800 and silver jumped nearly 6% after a U.S.-Iran ceasefire reopened the Strait of Hormuz. But this rally isn’t just about the war pausing — central banks, dollar weakness, and monetary debasement remain the structural bid under precious metals.

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