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Markets Skeptical of Fed’s ‘Transitory’ Inflation View

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled two potential interest rate cuts this year, adopting a dovish stance that surprised investors concerned about stagflation.

The Fed’s base case assumes tariff-induced inflation will be “transitory” with only a short-term impact on prices, projecting inflation to reach 2.7% by year-end before returning to its 2% target by 2027.

However, experts warn this outlook may be unrealistic given Trump administration trade policy uncertainties. Despite the Fed’s cautious projections, markets are pricing in three cuts instead of two, though analysts advise investors to focus on fundamentals like earnings growth rather than Fed forecasts given the highly uncertain economic environment.

gold silver prices ceasefire
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Gold, Silver Swing as Ceasefire Cracks

The US-Iran ceasefire is barely holding. Gold closed at $4,768 and silver at $75.60 after wild swings. Oil snapped back above $100 as Iran still controls the Strait. FOMC minutes revealed growing inflation fears and a hawkish shift. Here’s your PM roundup.

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How to Spot Fake Gold and Silver: Authentication, Tests, and Red Flags
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How to Spot Fake Gold and Silver: Authentication, Tests, and Red Flags 

Counterfeiting precious metals is as old as money itself. Knowing how to spot fake gold starts with understanding how fakes are made.   In September 2012, Manhattan dealer Ibrahim Fadl paid $100,000 for four 10-ounce PAMP Suisse gold bars. He drilled into them after a colleague’s tip — and found tungsten [NBC News]. The bars had already passed X-ray fluorescence testing and a scale check. With gold near all-time highs, the incentive for this kind of fraud has never been greater.  The good news: most fakes can be caught before money changes hands. This guide covers how counterfeits are made, which tests work, what

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gold silver prices ceasefire
News

Gold, Silver Swing as Ceasefire Cracks

The US-Iran ceasefire is barely holding. Gold closed at $4,768 and silver at $75.60 after wild swings. Oil snapped back above $100 as Iran still controls the Strait. FOMC minutes revealed growing inflation fears and a hawkish shift. Here’s your PM roundup.

Read More »

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