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Markets Skeptical of Fed’s ‘Transitory’ Inflation View

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled two potential interest rate cuts this year, adopting a dovish stance that surprised investors concerned about stagflation.

The Fed’s base case assumes tariff-induced inflation will be “transitory” with only a short-term impact on prices, projecting inflation to reach 2.7% by year-end before returning to its 2% target by 2027.

However, experts warn this outlook may be unrealistic given Trump administration trade policy uncertainties. Despite the Fed’s cautious projections, markets are pricing in three cuts instead of two, though analysts advise investors to focus on fundamentals like earnings growth rather than Fed forecasts given the highly uncertain economic environment.

Gold bars on a trading desk with gold price chart and news feed on screens — gold decoupling from geopolitics as monetary floor holds
News

Gold Is Decoupling From Geopolitics. Here’s the Proof

Gold rose 3% on Iran peace news Wednesday. It held those gains Thursday when the US military briefed Trump on strike options. Same metal, opposite headlines, same price — because the monetary floor beneath gold is now larger than any geopolitical premium on top of it.

Read More »
A brass balance scale on a wooden desk with gold bars and coins on one side outweighing US dollar bills on the other, set against a dark blurred bookshelf background
Videos

Gold vs Stocks vs Real Estate: What the Data Shows

Stocks are at historically extreme valuations. The 40-year bond bull market is over. Real estate carries new structural risks. When you compare gold vs stocks vs real estate through a data lens, one asset class stands apart — and the macro conditions driving it are only getting stronger.

Read More »
Gold bullion bars on dark marble surface with rising price chart, illustrating the Iran deal gold price impact and Fed rate cuts thesis
News

Gold Jumps on Iran Deal Hopes. The Real Driver Is the Fed

Gold and silver spiked Wednesday after Axios reported the US and Iran are close to a one-page peace deal. Most coverage is calling it a safe-haven trade. It isn’t. A Hormuz reopening lowers oil, cools PCE inflation, and gives the Fed room to cut rates — and compressed real yields are the engine behind every major gold rally. Here’s why the mechanism matters more than the headline.

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Latest News

Gold bars on a trading desk with gold price chart and news feed on screens — gold decoupling from geopolitics as monetary floor holds
News

Gold Is Decoupling From Geopolitics. Here’s the Proof

Gold rose 3% on Iran peace news Wednesday. It held those gains Thursday when the US military briefed Trump on strike options. Same metal, opposite headlines, same price — because the monetary floor beneath gold is now larger than any geopolitical premium on top of it.

Read More »
A brass balance scale on a wooden desk with gold bars and coins on one side outweighing US dollar bills on the other, set against a dark blurred bookshelf background
Videos

Gold vs Stocks vs Real Estate: What the Data Shows

Stocks are at historically extreme valuations. The 40-year bond bull market is over. Real estate carries new structural risks. When you compare gold vs stocks vs real estate through a data lens, one asset class stands apart — and the macro conditions driving it are only getting stronger.

Read More »

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