Does Timing the Gold Market Work? What 56 Years of Data Shows

Most investors try to avoid buying gold at the wrong time—but decades of data show that timing the gold market can quietly destroy returns. The vast majority of gold’s long-term gains come from just a handful of unpredictable trading days each year. Miss them, and performance collapses. This analysis reveals why staying invested—not timing entries and exits—is the only reliable way to capture gold’s full return potential.

$26,000 Gold?! The Truth Behind the Viral Chart

A chart making the rounds recently makes a bold claim: gold may need to skyrocket—potentially to $26,000 — to match historical levels of U.S. debt coverage.  At first glance, the argument is compelling.  Today, U.S. gold reserves cover just about 3% of federal debt—near record lows. In 1980, that number was closer to 18%. Go back further to the 1940s, and it exceeded 50%.  So yes… if gold were to “rebalance” against debt the way it has in the past, prices would need to rise dramatically.  But that doesn’t mean those price targets are realistic.  The Flaw in the $26K Gold Argument  It’s easy to look at historical ratios and […]

Gold’s Worst Week in 46 Years: Should You Be Worried?

Gold just recorded its worst week in 46 years, dropping over 10% in a single week and 17% in three. But history shows these rare selloffs don’t end bull markets—they often precede the next leg higher. Here’s what’s really driving the decline and what investors should do next.

The $20,000 Gold Options Trade: Insider Signal or Smart Hedge?

A massive $20,000 gold options trade on COMEX is drawing attention for its $3.3M cost and potential $5.5B payout. Is it insider trading ahead of a gold revaluation — or a hedge fund hedging extreme macro risk? Here’s what the structure, open interest data, and put activity actually reveal.

Gold Just Closed Above $5,000. What Happens Next?

Gold has officially posted a weekly all-time high above $5,000, signaling sustained momentum rather than short-term volatility. History shows that clusters of record weekly closes often occur during the strongest phases of a bull market. From the 1970s surge to today’s extended streak, past cycles suggest the most explosive gains have historically come later — not earlier. Could this pattern point toward a powerful final phase into 2027?

Gold Price Prediction for 2026: What the Data Is Signaling

Gold is surging above $5,000 as demand from central banks and investors overwhelms limited supply—raising big questions about where prices could head by 2026.

Gold Isn’t Scarce — So Why Is It So Valuable?

For decades, sound money advocates have leaned on a simple, tidy idea: gold is valuable because it’s scarce.  But what if that argument misses the point entirely?  In his latest video, Alan Hibbard takes aim at the “scarcity” narrative and replaces it with a more precise—and more powerful—mental model: arduousness. It’s not just about how rare something is. It’s about how hard it is to inflate its supply.  If you’ve ever used scarcity to defend gold… you might want to rethink that.  Scarcity vs. Value: Not the Same Thing  Let’s start with a quick thought experiment: if gold is valuable […]

Why Don’t We Use Gold to Buy Coffee?

Why don’t we pay for coffee with gold? It’s a fair question — after all, gold has been considered money for thousands of years. But if it’s so valuable, why don’t we use it for everyday transactions?  In a recent video, Alan Hibbard unpacks this common misconception, offering a powerful explanation of why gold still matters — not as a medium of exchange, but as a store of value. Below, we’ve broken down the key concepts from his talk, laying the groundwork for what will be a six-part educational series, Hidden Secrets of Value.  What It Means to “Use” Money  […]