Gold ETFs Lost 45 Tonnes Last Quarter. Central Banks Bought 289. Here’s What That Split Means.

In Q2 2026, gold ETFs shed 45 tonnes. Central banks added 289 — more than six times as much. The World Gold Council data reveals what that split actually means.

State Street Predicts $5,500 Gold by Q1 2027: Is the Dip Over?

State Street’s July 2026 Monthly Gold Monitor targets $5,000 per ounce into early 2027, with a 70% probability baseline range of $4,750–$5,500. Here is the structural case behind the forecast — record global debt, central bank buying, and a stock-bond correlation breakdown — and what a gold recovery means for silver’s high-beta setup.

How Do Gold Price Cycles Work? A Framework Across Four Time Horizons

Gold price cycles operate across four distinct time horizons — from 40-year structural waves to annual seasonal patterns. Here is the complete framework.

OCBC Just Cut Its Gold Forecast by $740. The Reason Is the Story.

OCBC cut its year-end gold target by $740 this morning — from $5,100 to $4,360. The mechanism behind the cut is the entire story of this correction. And it’s the same mechanism physical metal holders bought protection against.

Gold Falls 0.5% on Iran Deal: The Floor Holds

Gold dropped half a percent on Iran peace optimism today. In any prior cycle that news would have sent it down three. That gap — between what should have happened and what did — is the story.

Gold Is Decoupling From Geopolitics. Here’s the Proof

Gold rose 3% on Iran peace news Wednesday. It held those gains Thursday when the US military briefed Trump on strike options. Same metal, opposite headlines, same price — because the monetary floor beneath gold is now larger than any geopolitical premium on top of it.

Gold Is Up 41% From a Year Ago. The Fed Can’t Stop It

Gold is trading at $4,648/oz — up 41% from a year ago, down 14% from January’s record. Both numbers are true. The one that matters is the 41%. It held through a war, three hawkish Fed holds, and the most fractured FOMC vote since 1992. Here’s why that gap between the record and today’s price is a floor, not a warning.

Gold Price Today: What to Watch Before the April 29 FOMC

Gold is trading near $4,707 on April 23 as the final pre-FOMC data window closes. Jobless claims came in at 214,000, the dollar is at one-week highs, and Powell’s last meeting as Fed chair is six days away. Here’s what to watch before April 29.