Silver Rises Over 120% YTD 
Gold and Silver Hold As Bessent Promises a Hormuz Deal, a Vessel Gets Hit, and JOLTS Drops
Gold is up 0.70% this morning as Treasury Secretary Bessent signals a Hormuz deal could arrive today, JOLTS data lands at 10am, the NY Fed warns on rates, silver outperforms gold 3-to-1, and the dollar hits a seven-week low. Five forces, one thread: the September rate hike debate.
A War Just Expanded Into a New Shipping Lane. Gold Fell. Here Is Exactly Why.
Gold fell 1.6% today as Houthi militants attacked two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea — opening a new front in the Iran war. The paradox: a war just got bigger, and gold went down. Here is the four-step mechanism connecting the attack to the gold price, and why the same force suppressing gold short-term is building the long-term case for physical metal.
Why Gold Spikes Every Time Hormuz Opens — And Why It Never Holds
Every time the Strait of Hormuz briefly reopens, gold spikes. Every time, it reverses. It’s happened twice since February 28 — and it’s the same mechanism both times. Here’s why the spike never holds, and what would actually change it.
