Gold and Silver Fall as Hot PPI Lifts Fed Rate-Hike Odds

August producer prices accelerated to a 5.4 percent annual pace, and traders responded by pricing in 60 percent odds of a Fed rate hike, a reversal that pulled both metals lower even as the long-term case for owning them held firm.

Five Signals Pointing the Same Way Into Next Week’s Fed Decision

Gold and silver dip ahead of PPI, but five signals — options flow, a commodity-index warning, a copper margin squeeze, HSBC’s oil forecast, and a COMEX reversal — all point the same way into next week’s Fed decision.

Silver Just Fell Three Times Harder Than Gold. Here’s the PPI Story Behind It.

Silver fell 4.1% today against gold’s 1.35% drop as August PPI data landed, pushing the gold-silver ratio to 67.2 in under an hour. Here’s the mechanism behind silver’s sharper swing, and why it doesn’t touch the market’s multi-year supply deficit.

The Fed’s September Math Just Changed. Here’s What It Means for Gold.

Two soft inflation prints shifted the Fed’s September rate-hike odds from near-even to 69.4% hold. Here is the real-yield mechanism driving gold’s move this week — and why the FOMC minutes dropping Tuesday are the most important data point between now and September 15.

Gold Hit a Two-Month High. Then It Pulled Back. The PPI Data That Caused Both Moves Is What Matters.

Gold hit a two-month high on Wednesday, then gave back ground Thursday as energy costs complicated an otherwise clean inflation signal. PPI came in flat. September Fed hike odds fell to 40%. ETF money is returning. Citi put a $90 target on silver. Here are the five developments shaping precious metals right now.

Two Soft Inflation Prints. Gold Is Still Below $4,500. One Number Is Keeping It There.

Two consecutive soft inflation prints — July PPI flat, CPI up just 0.1% — should be pushing gold through $4,500. Here is the one number keeping the ceiling in place, and the threshold to watch for when it lifts.

Gold Falls as Retail Sales Confirm the Fed Has No Reason to Cut

Gold fell to $4,016 and silver dropped 2.6% Thursday after June retail sales printed +0.2%. Strip out gasoline stations — down 5.3% on the month — and the consumer is actually holding up. That’s the problem for gold: a resilient consumer keeps the Fed parked, real yields elevated, and non-yielding metals under pressure.

Every Bearish Catalyst Landed at Once. Gold and Silver Went Up Anyway.

Every bearish macro catalyst landed today at once — hot PPI, an ECB rate hike for the first time since September 2023, and a second night of US-Iran strikes. Silver opened at its lowest level since December 2025. By afternoon it was up 3.6%. Here’s what that market signal means for physical holders and what to watch before the FOMC on June 17.

Gold Price Outlook: Fed Holds, PPI Climbs 

Gold fell 3.75% to $4,820 as February PPI surged to 3.4% — double expectations. The Fed held rates at 3.50%–3.75% with no cuts in sight. Here’s what the data says about the gold price outlook and whether this dip is a buying opportunity.

The Global Capital Rotation Event Is Underway — Are You Ready for the Shift?

Alan Hibbard sits down with Kevin Wadsworth and Patrick Karim of Northstar Bad Charts to expose what they call the Capital Rotation Event — a rare and powerful shift of global capital out of stocks and into precious metals.  In today’s must-watch interview, you’ll discover:  This isn’t just another chart review. It’s a warning — and a roadmap.