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Hawks vs. Doves: Fed Debates Pace of 2025 Rate Cuts

Federal Reserve policymakers are projecting a more measured pace of interest rate cuts for 2025, marking a shift from the aggressive easing seen in 2024 when rates were reduced by a full percentage point.

This conservative outlook is shaped by several key factors: slower-than-desired progress in bringing inflation down to the 2% target, continued strength in the labor market, and significant uncertainty about the economic implications of Donald Trump’s second-term policies.

The Fed’s internal debate is characterized by a clear divide between hawks, who prioritize inflation concerns and advocate for a more cautious approach to rate cuts, and doves, who focus more on labor market risks and support quicker monetary easing.

This split reflects the complex balance the Fed must strike between maintaining price stability and supporting economic growth amid political and policy uncertainty, particularly regarding proposed tax cuts and tariff policies.

 

 

Gold bars stacked on US Treasury yield schedule and debt documents showing the tension between gold and government debt in 2026
News

Gold Is Up 41% From a Year Ago. The Fed Can’t Stop It

Gold is trading at $4,648/oz — up 41% from a year ago, down 14% from January’s record. Both numbers are true. The one that matters is the 41%. It held through a war, three hawkish Fed holds, and the most fractured FOMC vote since 1992. Here’s why that gap between the record and today’s price is a floor, not a warning.

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Gold bar in front of a laptop displaying CPI and inflation charts — illustrating the gold inflation paradox
Articles

The Gold Inflation Paradox Most Investors Miss

Gold fell around 15% from its all-time high while inflation hit a nearly 3-year peak. The inflation-hedge narrative isn’t wrong — it’s incomplete. Here’s what the data really shows about gold and rising prices.

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Latest News

Gold bars stacked on US Treasury yield schedule and debt documents showing the tension between gold and government debt in 2026
News

Gold Is Up 41% From a Year Ago. The Fed Can’t Stop It

Gold is trading at $4,648/oz — up 41% from a year ago, down 14% from January’s record. Both numbers are true. The one that matters is the 41%. It held through a war, three hawkish Fed holds, and the most fractured FOMC vote since 1992. Here’s why that gap between the record and today’s price is a floor, not a warning.

Read More »

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