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Gold and Silver Rally Through Resistance While Copper Awaits Tariff Verdict

Gold and silver surged through important price barriers on Monday, driven by a weakening US dollar and growing concerns about global trade tensions. Gold broke above its downtrend from April’s record high, establishing new support at $3,325, while silver posted its strongest one-day gain since October, jumping 5.4% to breach the key $33.68 level.

The rally reflects deeper concerns about US fiscal health, with $9.2 trillion in Treasury securities maturing in 2025—equivalent to 30% of US GDP. Investors are increasingly seeking alternatives to US assets, pushing precious metals higher as a hedge against potential economic instability.

Meanwhile, copper markets remain volatile as traders await the US Commerce Department’s decision on import tariffs. President Trump has threatened 25% duties on copper imports, which could significantly impact global markets. The uncertainty has created a wide trading range, with the New York-London copper spread fluctuating between 6% and 15%.

Three gold bars stacked beside a taller stack of six silver bars, illustrating the widening gold-silver ratio in the October 2026 gold price outlook
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Stacked gold and silver bars with an oil pumpjack silhouetted at sunset, representing the gold silver ratio today
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Gold Falls as Oil Pushes Fed Rate-Hike Bets Higher 

A sharp drop in gold and an even sharper one in silver looked like classic Fed-driven selling today, but the real trigger was oil. Here’s the mechanism connecting crude prices to rate expectations, and why the thesis behind owning metal hasn’t changed.

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