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CPI Hits 3.3%, GDP Stalls — Is Stagflation 2026 Here?

stagflation2026

March CPI surged to 3.3% — the highest since May 2024 — while Q4 GDP sits at just 0.5%. The stagflation 2026 thesis is now backed by hard data. Gold eyes a third weekly gain as the Iran ceasefire cracks and Islamabad talks loom. Five stories you need this morning.

Gold, Silver Swing as Ceasefire Cracks

gold silver prices ceasefire

The US-Iran ceasefire is barely holding. Gold closed at $4,768 and silver at $75.60 after wild swings. Oil snapped back above $100 as Iran still controls the Strait. FOMC minutes revealed growing inflation fears and a hawkish shift. Here’s your PM roundup.

The Ounce Mindset: Why Silver’s Pullback is a Gift 

silver pullback

Silver hit an all-time high of ~$121 in January 2026 and has since pulled back to the mid-$70s. Mike Maloney’s framework for why that’s an opportunity, not a loss — and how to measure wealth in ounces, not dollars.

How to Spot Fake Gold and Silver: Authentication, Tests, and Red Flags 

How to Spot Fake Gold and Silver: Authentication, Tests, and Red Flags

Counterfeiting precious metals is as old as money itself. Knowing how to spot fake gold starts with understanding how fakes are made.   In September 2012, Manhattan dealer Ibrahim Fadl paid $100,000 for four 10-ounce PAMP Suisse gold bars. He drilled into them after a colleague’s tip — and found tungsten [NBC News]. The bars had already passed X-ray fluorescence testing and a scale check. With gold near all-time highs, the incentive for this kind of fraud has never been greater.  The good news: most fakes can be caught before money changes hands. This guide covers how counterfeits are made, which tests work, what […]

Hot PCE, Stalling Growth, and an Oil Crisis That Isn’t Over 

PCE inflation February 2026

PCE inflation came in at 2.8% year-over-year in February — above the 2.6% forecast and unchanged from January. Combined with near-stalled Q4 GDP growth and an unresolved energy crisis, today’s data paints a complicated picture for the Fed and a familiar one for gold.

The Fed Is Stuck. Here’s What That Means for Gold.

gold Federal Reserve policy uncertainty

Iran’s parliamentary speaker says the U.S. violated the ceasefire within hours. Fed minutes show policymakers split on cuts vs. hikes. And gold has historically moved when the Fed can’t signal its next step — a pattern playing out right now.

Numismatic vs. Bullion Coins: Know What You’re Buying 

numismatic vs bullion coins

Not all gold and silver coins are created equal. The numismatic vs. bullion coins decision shapes what you pay, how easily you can sell, and how directly your investment tracks the metal itself. Here’s a clear breakdown of both — and what belongs in a serious portfolio.

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