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Fed Takes Conservative Stance on 2025 Rate Cuts

Wall Street is experiencing significant volatility as President Trump escalates his criticism of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. Trump wants immediate interest rate cuts to stimulate the economy, even threatening to fire Powell on social media before walking back those comments in an Oval Office meeting. Economic experts, including Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi, predict no rate changes at the upcoming May Fed meeting, noting that monetary policy will likely remain unchanged until there’s more clarity on trade wars and economic policy. Investors are concerned about potential threats to Fed independence, which has historically led to inflation problems.

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The US goods-trade deficit unexpectedly reached a record $162 billion in March 2025, widening by 9.6% from February. This surge was driven by companies rushing to import goods before President Trump’s new tariffs took effect. Imports rose 5% to $342.7 billion, with consumer goods reaching record levels. The widening deficit is expected to negatively impact first-quarter GDP, with some economists now forecasting a contraction instead of growth.

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Apollo Global Management warns that Trump’s tariffs could trigger a summer recession, with Americans experiencing store shortages as early as May. According to their chief economist Torsten Slok, the timeline begins with April’s tariff announcements disrupting shipping from China, leading to supply chain issues by May, retail and trucking industry layoffs by June, and ultimately a recession by summer 2025. While Treasury Secretary Bessent acknowledges trade tensions with China are “unsustainable,” he doesn’t predict a full recession, and some analysts note existing inventory may delay visible impacts.

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Gold On Pace for Historic 91.5% Annual Return Through Q1 2025

Record-high gold prices have triggered increased interest in gold investment products at Chinese banks. As demand surges, banks have raised minimum purchase amounts to manage risks while extending trading hours. This gold boom has significantly increased banks’ precious metal holdings (up 70% in 2024) and boosted their revenue from gold sales and transaction fees, making it an important growth area as interest margins narrow.

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The US dollar is on track for its biggest two-month decline since 2002, falling 7.7% during March and April 2025. Two key factors drove this decline: Germany’s decision to end decades of austerity with increased public spending (boosting euro area growth expectations), and President Trump’s tariff announcements triggering a flight to safe-haven currencies like the yen, Swiss franc, and euro. Despite edging up 0.25% on Tuesday following reports that the Trump administration might soften planned tariffs, the dollar remains under pressure. Deutsche Bank notes that foreign investors are staging a “buyers’ strike” on US assets despite recovering prices. The euro,...

What If the Future of Money Isn’t Digital — but Gold?

Mike Maloney’s new video uncovers fresh evidence that a gold-backed monetary system may be closer than anyone expected.  Behind the scenes, Trump’s comments on gold, quiet shifts at the U.S. Treasury, and actions by global elites are setting the stage for a massive financial reset. Mike also uncovers why global gold flows are surging, how COMEX is bracing for a crisis, and what history teaches about what comes next.  The rules of the game are changing — fast. Will you be ahead of the shift, or left behind? 

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Gold declined 0.8% to $3,314.52 per ounce on Tuesday amid improving US-China trade relations. US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that trading partners had made “very good” proposals to avoid US tariffs, while China demonstrated willingness to reduce tensions by exempting some US goods from retaliatory measures. The Trump administration plans to ease automotive tariff impacts by reducing duties on foreign parts in domestically manufactured vehicles. Despite the short-term decline, analysts believe gold’s long-term upward trend remains intact, supported by emerging market central banks diversifying their reserves. Investors are awaiting key US economic data this week, including the personal consumption...

According to a recent article from Barron’s, it’s time for investors to shift from gold to silver. Gold’s price recently surged from $2,960 to $3,500 per ounce in just two weeks, but warning signs indicate this uptrend may reverse soon. These warnings include momentum not confirming new price highs and gold trading at its widest premium to its long-term moving average since 2011. Meanwhile, silver appears poised for a breakout after extended sideways trading. Technical analysis shows silver is forming a “cup and handle” pattern, suggesting potential upside to $45-$50 per ounce if it breaks above $36.

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A recent Experian survey reveals the depth of America’s credit crisis, with 23% of adults facing “unmanageable” debt that requires choosing between debt payments and essential needs. However, the data also shows encouraging signs: 45% of respondents have overcome previously unmanageable debt, experiencing improved mental wellbeing as a result. Many Americans are actively addressing their financial challenges by taking on additional work, using strategic debt repayment methods, and employing budgeting tools. The Experian survey also uncovered that a significant misconception about debt is that making minimum payments is sufficient, with more than 2 in 5 respondents identifying this as their...

Consumer financial distress is at its worst level in 12 years according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, with over 11% of Americans making only minimum payments on credit cards and delinquencies hitting record highs. This crisis stems from years of above-target inflation that has outpaced wage growth, forcing many to rely on credit cards for essential expenses. A recent survey found one-third of Americans use credit cards to make ends meet, with many maxing out their cards. With interest rates averaging 21.37%, minimum payments barely cover interest charges.

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