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Barron’s: Gold Could Reach $4,000 as Investors Flee Risk

Multiple market strategists, including Bloomberg’s Mick McGlone, Yardeni Research, and Jeffrey Gundlach, forecast gold could hit $4,000 as investors flee riskier assets amid market uncertainty.

This shift is already underway, with the S&P 500 dropping 8.1% and Bitcoin falling nearly 13% since February, while gold gained 3% during the same period.

Gold has surged nearly 40% over the past year, reaching a record high before settling at $3,020. ETF flows dramatically illustrate this change, as investors have pulled over $4 billion from once-hot Bitcoin ETFs while pouring nearly $7 billion into gold ETFs last month.

Treasury bonds are also benefiting as a safe haven, with 10-year yields declining from 4.42% to 4.24%. McGlone predicts yields could drop further to around 2%, potentially making gold even more attractive by comparison, especially given market concerns about high stock valuations and the Trump administration’s trade policies.

Gold coins resting on a financial bar chart, illustrating why strong GDP data affects the gold price
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Q1 GDP Beat. Jobless Claims Beat. Gold Rose. Here’s Why.

Strong GDP data is actually bad news for gold’s paper price. When the economy grows faster than expected, the Federal Reserve gains permission to raise interest rates — and higher rates increase the cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Here’s the mechanism, what June 25’s triple data release confirmed, and what it leaves unchanged for long-term holders.

Read More »
GoldSilver video thumbnail showing hosts Maggie Lake and Tavi Costa with the text "Miners Are Printing Money" against a backdrop of gold bars, silver coins, a mining excavator, and a falling stock chart
Videos

Why Is Silver’s Mining Margin So Wide? Tavi Costa Explains

Silver’s recent price drop looks significant. The math behind it tells a different story. Macro strategist Tavi Costa breaks down why the $46 spread between silver’s spot price and its average mining cost is the widest in recorded history — and why that number matters far more than where silver traded last week.

Read More »
Hands in business attire holding a 999.9 fine gold bar on a trading floor, illustrating the divergence between gold ETF outflows and central bank gold buying in 2026
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298 Tonnes of ETF Gold Is Underwater. Central Banks Aren’t.

Approximately 298 tonnes of gold inside ETFs is currently held at a loss at current price levels — a structural ceiling on any near-term recovery. At the same time, the WGC’s 2026 survey found a record 45% of central banks plan to add to their reserves. Two markets. One metal. Very different time horizons.

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Latest News

Gold coins resting on a financial bar chart, illustrating why strong GDP data affects the gold price
News

Q1 GDP Beat. Jobless Claims Beat. Gold Rose. Here’s Why.

Strong GDP data is actually bad news for gold’s paper price. When the economy grows faster than expected, the Federal Reserve gains permission to raise interest rates — and higher rates increase the cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Here’s the mechanism, what June 25’s triple data release confirmed, and what it leaves unchanged for long-term holders.

Read More »
GoldSilver video thumbnail showing hosts Maggie Lake and Tavi Costa with the text "Miners Are Printing Money" against a backdrop of gold bars, silver coins, a mining excavator, and a falling stock chart
Videos

Why Is Silver’s Mining Margin So Wide? Tavi Costa Explains

Silver’s recent price drop looks significant. The math behind it tells a different story. Macro strategist Tavi Costa breaks down why the $46 spread between silver’s spot price and its average mining cost is the widest in recorded history — and why that number matters far more than where silver traded last week.

Read More »

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