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Barron’s: Gold Could Reach $4,000 as Investors Flee Risk

Multiple market strategists, including Bloomberg’s Mick McGlone, Yardeni Research, and Jeffrey Gundlach, forecast gold could hit $4,000 as investors flee riskier assets amid market uncertainty.

This shift is already underway, with the S&P 500 dropping 8.1% and Bitcoin falling nearly 13% since February, while gold gained 3% during the same period.

Gold has surged nearly 40% over the past year, reaching a record high before settling at $3,020. ETF flows dramatically illustrate this change, as investors have pulled over $4 billion from once-hot Bitcoin ETFs while pouring nearly $7 billion into gold ETFs last month.

Treasury bonds are also benefiting as a safe haven, with 10-year yields declining from 4.42% to 4.24%. McGlone predicts yields could drop further to around 2%, potentially making gold even more attractive by comparison, especially given market concerns about high stock valuations and the Trump administration’s trade policies.

Newspaper stand at sunrise with headlines about global markets, tariffs, and tech — gold structural tailwinds 2026
Articles

Tariff Refunds, Dollar Weakness, the AI Bust: Gold’s Case 

Gold and silver market update — April 21, 2026  In this update: Five stories made headlines this week that have nothing obvious to do with gold — tariff refunds, Apple’s leadership change, a weakening dollar, Canada’s political shift, and an AI productivity bust. Together, they are gold structural tailwinds. Here’s what each one means. Who’s Actually Getting the $166 Billion in Tariff Refunds?  Not you. The US government opened a refund portal this week for $166 billion in tariff money — duties the Supreme Court struck down as unconstitutional in February. Over 56,000 importers have now registered, claiming $127 billion in Phase 1 alone. However, the refunds

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American Gold Eagle coin resting on a printed chart showing a declining gold price during the Iran War
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The Real Reason Gold Is Down During an Oil War 

Gold is down 10% since the Iran War began — while oil is up nearly 60%. If gold is an inflation hedge, why is it falling during an inflation shock? The answer comes down to one distinction most investors miss: paper gold and physical gold are not the same thing, and they don’t respond to the same forces.

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Silver Price Forecast 2026-2027: The bull case and bear case laid out
Articles

Silver Price Forecast 2026-2027: The bull case and bear case laid out

Silver surged 147% in 2025 and hit an all-time high of $121/oz in January 2026. But what comes next? This analysis breaks down the bull and bear case for silver prices in 2026–2027 — covering supply deficits, industrial demand, Fed policy, and institutional forecasts from J.P. Morgan, Commerzbank, and more — so you can make a more informed decision about your precious metals strategy.

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American Gold Eagle coin resting on a printed chart showing a declining gold price during the Iran War
News

The Real Reason Gold Is Down During an Oil War 

Gold is down 10% since the Iran War began — while oil is up nearly 60%. If gold is an inflation hedge, why is it falling during an inflation shock? The answer comes down to one distinction most investors miss: paper gold and physical gold are not the same thing, and they don’t respond to the same forces.

Read More »
Empty United States Senate committee hearing room with name placards and American flags
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What the Warsh Hearing Means for Gold Prices 

Kevin Warsh’s confirmation hearing is the most consequential signal for gold prices in months. Three scenarios, three outcomes — and one structural force that shapes gold’s floor no matter which way the vote goes.

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