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Bridgewater’s Dalio Warns of UK ‘Debt Death Spiral’ Risk

Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio has raised serious concerns about the UK’s debt sustainability, warning of a potential “debt death spiral” where the government faces an increasingly difficult choice between taking on more debt to service existing obligations, cutting spending, or raising taxes.

Speaking to the Financial Times, Dalio highlighted the troubling combination of rising gilt yields, which touched 4.90% (highest since 2008), alongside a weakening pound and deteriorating economic data – a pattern that typically shouldn’t occur when monetary policy is expected to ease.

The billionaire hedge fund manager points to a fundamental supply-demand problem in the gilt market, suggesting investors are becoming increasingly wary of absorbing UK government debt. This market behavior is particularly concerning as it comes amid cooling inflation and growth data, implying the market’s reaction is driven by debt sustainability concerns rather than economic strength.

Dalio extends his warning to the US market, noting similar signs of strain in the Treasury market and urging the incoming Trump administration to prioritize addressing the American debt burden. The parallel challenges in both markets underscore growing global concerns about government debt sustainability in major economies.

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Gold climbed back above $4,000 this morning while silver rebounded near $49, extending a rally fueled by political gridlock, missing economic data, and Fed uncertainty. With the government shutdown leaving investors in the dark on jobs and inflation numbers, markets are reaching for safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, silver just earned a new designation as a critical mineral—official recognition of its role in America’s energy and tech infrastructure. Here’s what’s moving markets today.

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Gold Holds Near $4,000 as Job Cuts Hit 20-Year High

Gold steadied near $4,000/oz Thursday amid dollar weakness and shutdown concerns, while U.S. companies announced record October job cuts. With the “Buffett Indicator” at extreme levels and Bitcoin diverging from gold’s traditional safe-haven role, investors are reassessing portfolio hedges. Meanwhile, Cambodia’s decision to store reserves with China signals a geopolitical shift in the global bullion market — underscoring gold’s growing importance as both an economic and sovereignty hedge.

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Gold Spot Price Signals: What It Reveals About Global Confidence
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Gold Spot Price Signals: What It Reveals About Global Confidence

Gold spot price signals reveal much more than the current value of gold — they reflect global confidence, investor sentiment, and the flow of money across markets. Understanding how these signals work helps investors see gold not as a speculative asset, but as a real-time measure of economic trust and stability.

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Gold Reclaims $4,000 as Shutdown Clouds Jobs, Inflation, and Airlines

Gold climbed back above $4,000 this morning while silver rebounded near $49, extending a rally fueled by political gridlock, missing economic data, and Fed uncertainty. With the government shutdown leaving investors in the dark on jobs and inflation numbers, markets are reaching for safe-haven assets. Meanwhile, silver just earned a new designation as a critical mineral—official recognition of its role in America’s energy and tech infrastructure. Here’s what’s moving markets today.

Read More »

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