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Deutsche Bank: AI Breakthrough Could Trigger Tech Market Reset

Deutsche Bank’s global co-head of FX research, George Saravelos, has drawn significant parallels between the potential market impact of DeepSeek’s AI breakthrough and the dot-com crash of the 2000s.

If the technology proves as disruptive as initial market reactions suggest, it could prompt a major realignment in tech valuations and capital expenditure.

The analyst envisions a three-phase impact similar to the dot-com era: first, a tech-focused equity selloff that could spread to the broader economy and trigger a mild recession; second, a more accommodative Federal Reserve stance leading to a bond market rally; and finally, dollar weakness driven by unwinding equity inflows and narrowing global rate differentials.

While Saravelos acknowledges the long-term benefits of lower-cost productivity gains and reduced inflation, he emphasizes that near-term market adjustments could be significant, particularly when combined with potential Trump administration fiscal measures and trade policies with China.

Australian Gold Kangaroo coin standing on edge against an open legal volume, representing Perth Mint's statutory guarantee
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Australian Gold Kangaroo: The Bullion Coin Backed by an Act of Parliament

Perth Mint’s flagship bullion coin changes its reverse almost every year, which is the least interesting thing about it. At 99.99% purity with an uncapped mintage, the Australian Gold Kangaroo coin sits behind a guarantee written into Western Australian statute in 1987. Here is what that actually means for what you own.

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