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Dollar’s Safe Haven Status Wavers Under Trump’s Second Term Policies

The US dollar is behaving strangely in recent markets. Normally during stock market drops, investors rush to the dollar for safety. But now, the opposite is happening – the dollar is falling while investors flee to gold, the yen, and European stocks instead.

This unusual pattern stems directly from President Trump’s second-term policies. His increased tariffs and anti-globalization stance are eroding confidence in the currency that has dominated global finance for decades.

In the past three months, the dollar has weakened against most major currencies, with Bloomberg’s dollar index falling nearly 3% – its worst start to a year since 2017. Meanwhile, gold has soared to a record $3,000+ per ounce. By mid-March, traders were actively betting against the dollar for the first time since Trump’s election, worried his policies could cause a recession.

While the dollar remains the world’s primary reserve currency, Trump’s aggressive trade policies are sparking global discussions about reducing reliance on it. European leaders see this as an opportunity to strengthen the euro’s position in international markets.

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BLS Data Revisions Explained: Standard Practice, Not Political Manipulation

President Donald Trump recently dismissed Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Commissioner Erika McEntarfer, alleging that the July jobs report was “rigged” to harm Republican interests. However, former BLS officials clarify that the commissioner does not directly participate in data collection or preparation. The BLS gathers employment data through two main surveys: the Current Population Survey, which interviews about 60,000 households, and the Current Employment Statistics survey, which collects payroll data from businesses. Revisions to initial job estimates are common and result from delayed responses and the need for seasonal adjustments. Experts emphasize that such revisions are standard practice and not

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News

Trump’s Accusations Against BLS Spark Debate Over Data Integrity

President Donald Trump accused the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of orchestrating a “scam” after the July jobs report revealed only 73,000 jobs added, significantly below expectations. He also criticized the downward revisions of May and June’s job numbers, totaling a 258,000-job decrease. However, experts clarify that such revisions are standard practice as BLS updates initial estimates with more complete data over time. The BLS employs rigorous methodologies, including household and business surveys, to compile employment data, and revisions are part of ensuring accuracy. Economists emphasize that these adjustments reflect improved data collection and are not indicative of manipulation.

Read More »
How Gold and Silver Help Protect Your Portfolio from Inflation
News

World Gold Council Highlights Complex Factors Influencing Gold’s Inflation Hedge Status

An analysis by the World Gold Council reveals that the relationship between gold prices and the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) is surprisingly weak. Since 1971, only 16% of the variation in gold prices can be explained by changes in CPI inflation. The report suggests that gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge is more complex and influenced by factors beyond just CPI, including monetary policy and investor behavior.

Read More »
News

Trump Plans 250% Tariffs on Pharmaceuticals, Threatens EU with Higher Duties

President Donald Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on imported pharmaceuticals, starting at a lower rate and potentially escalating to 250% within the next year to year and a half. He emphasized the goal of encouraging domestic manufacturing in key sectors such as healthcare and technology. Additionally, Trump threatened the European Union with increased tariffs if it fails to meet its $600 billion investment commitment in the United States, labeling the investment as a “gift”

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News

10-Year Treasury Yield Edges Higher Amid Tariff Announcements and Services Sector Data

The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield inched up to 4.218% on Tuesday as investors assessed developments related to President Donald Trump’s tariff rates and looked toward data on July’s services sector activity, slated for release later in the day. The benchmark 10-year note yield was 2 basis points higher, while the 30-year bond was less than 2 basis points higher. The 2-year Treasury note yield also climbed more than 2 basis points to 3.71%. The U.S. is expected to release the ISM non-manufacturing purchasing managers’ index, with analysts expecting the figure to come in at 51.5, up from 50.8 the previous

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Latest News

News

BLS Data Revisions Explained: Standard Practice, Not Political Manipulation

President Donald Trump recently dismissed Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) Commissioner Erika McEntarfer, alleging that the July jobs report was “rigged” to harm Republican interests. However, former BLS officials clarify that the commissioner does not directly participate in data collection or preparation. The BLS gathers employment data through two main surveys: the Current Population Survey, which interviews about 60,000 households, and the Current Employment Statistics survey, which collects payroll data from businesses. Revisions to initial job estimates are common and result from delayed responses and the need for seasonal adjustments. Experts emphasize that such revisions are standard practice and not

Read More »
News

Trump’s Accusations Against BLS Spark Debate Over Data Integrity

President Donald Trump accused the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) of orchestrating a “scam” after the July jobs report revealed only 73,000 jobs added, significantly below expectations. He also criticized the downward revisions of May and June’s job numbers, totaling a 258,000-job decrease. However, experts clarify that such revisions are standard practice as BLS updates initial estimates with more complete data over time. The BLS employs rigorous methodologies, including household and business surveys, to compile employment data, and revisions are part of ensuring accuracy. Economists emphasize that these adjustments reflect improved data collection and are not indicative of manipulation.

Read More »
How Gold and Silver Help Protect Your Portfolio from Inflation
News

World Gold Council Highlights Complex Factors Influencing Gold’s Inflation Hedge Status

An analysis by the World Gold Council reveals that the relationship between gold prices and the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) is surprisingly weak. Since 1971, only 16% of the variation in gold prices can be explained by changes in CPI inflation. The report suggests that gold’s appeal as an inflation hedge is more complex and influenced by factors beyond just CPI, including monetary policy and investor behavior.

Read More »

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