The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain current interest rates through the first half of 2025 before implementing two rate cuts beginning in September, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists. President Trump’s trade policies have created uncertainty, causing economists to lower growth forecasts while raising inflation projections. New tariffs on major trading partners like China, Canada, and Mexico have unsettled financial markets and raised concerns about potential stagflation—a combination of slowing economic growth and persistent inflation.

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Dow to Gold Ratio: 100 Years of History Decoded
Gold has gained roughly 15.6% since January 1, 2026, while the Dow is up just 2.7% over the same stretch. That gap doesn’t register in most financial headlines — but the Dow to gold ratio captures it with precision. Right now, the ratio reads approximately 10: it takes around 10 ounces of gold to match one unit of the Dow index. At the dot-com peak in 1999, it took 43. What does that shift tell us, and where does it go from here?




