The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain current interest rates through the first half of 2025 before implementing two rate cuts beginning in September, according to a Bloomberg News survey of economists. President Trump’s trade policies have created uncertainty, causing economists to lower growth forecasts while raising inflation projections. New tariffs on major trading partners like China, Canada, and Mexico have unsettled financial markets and raised concerns about potential stagflation—a combination of slowing economic growth and persistent inflation.

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Oil Crashed 11%. Gold Went Up. That Tells You Everything.
Oil crashed 11% on Friday when Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz. Gold went up. That rare divergence — oil down, gold up, same catalyst — signals that gold’s rally is driven by monetary forces, not geopolitical ones. The war premium left oil. The monetary premium stayed in gold. Here is what that means for precious metals investors watching the Fed’s next move.




