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Euro Economy Flatlines as Germany and France Face Political Crisis

The eurozone’s economy has hit a concerning roadblock, recording zero growth in the fourth quarter of 2024 against expectations of modest expansion. This stagnation is particularly driven by contractions in the region’s powerhouse economies – Germany declining by 0.2% and France by 0.1%.

The economic challenges are deeply intertwined with political instability, as Germany faces an impending snap election that could see Chancellor Scholz replaced, while France grapples with a budget crisis and potential government shutdown.

The broader picture shows a stark divide in the region’s performance: while Spain, Portugal, and Lithuania demonstrate robust growth, core economies like Germany and France struggle with manufacturing decline, weak consumer confidence, and the looming threat of Trump’s trade measures. This economic weakness has increased pressure on the European Central Bank, with markets now pricing in up to four rate cuts through year-end as the region searches for new growth drivers.

Ten Percent Sent Gold Abroad. Nine Percent Brought It Home.
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Ten Percent Sent Gold Abroad. Nine Percent Brought It Home.

The financial press says central banks are bringing their gold home. The World Gold Council asked 76 of them, and the numbers run the other way: more spread gold into additional foreign jurisdictions last year than repatriated it. What that says about custody, and about how you hold your own metal.

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Gold silver price today Iran sanctions: two trading monitors show gold prices trending upward and oil prices trending downward on the same day.
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Gold Hits 3-Month High as Oil Falls Ahead of Bessent’s Iran Sanctions Announcement

Gold hit a fresh three-month high and silver turned positive today, both ahead of Treasury Secretary Bessent’s 2 PM ET press conference unveiling new Iran sanctions. But oil is falling into the announcement, the opposite of what a “tougher sanctions” headline usually does to markets. Here’s the mechanism actually driving today’s move, and why it isn’t really about Iran.

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Gold silver price today Iran sanctions: two trading monitors show gold prices trending upward and oil prices trending downward on the same day.
News

Gold Hits 3-Month High as Oil Falls Ahead of Bessent’s Iran Sanctions Announcement

Gold hit a fresh three-month high and silver turned positive today, both ahead of Treasury Secretary Bessent’s 2 PM ET press conference unveiling new Iran sanctions. But oil is falling into the announcement, the opposite of what a “tougher sanctions” headline usually does to markets. Here’s the mechanism actually driving today’s move, and why it isn’t really about Iran.

Read More »

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