The December Fed minutes show a central bank wrestling with competing pressures: rising inflation concerns, particularly from potential Trump administration policies, balanced against a commitment to monetary easing. While “almost all” officials noted increased inflation risks, this wasn’t enough to put rate hikes on the table. Instead, they opted for a more nuanced approach, delivering a third consecutive rate cut while leaving room to slow the pace of future cuts if needed. The decision wasn’t unanimous, with Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack dissenting in favor of holding rates until inflation moves closer to the 2% target. This careful balancing act suggests a Fed committed to its easing cycle but increasingly mindful of inflation risks, even as some external experts like Adam Posen predict a return to rate hikes by summer due to Trump’s economic plans.

Swiss Precious Metals Association Raises Alarm Over 39% U.S. Gold Tariffs
The Swiss Precious Metals Association (ASFCMP) has responded to the U.S. imposing a 39% tariff on gold imports and clarifying that 1kg and 100oz gold bars are not exempt from these tariffs. The U.S. Customs and Border Protection classified these Comex-deliverable gold bars under a code that is subject to tariffs, affecting imports from all countries, not just Switzerland. ASFCMP President Christoph Wild expressed concern about the impact on international gold flows and the historic gold trade relationship between Switzerland and the U.S. The association is engaging with Swiss authorities, the London Bullion Market Association, World Gold Council, and U.S.