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Fed Policy Shift and Trump’s Trade Threats Push Oil Lower

Oil markets are experiencing downward pressure as traders assess the Federal Reserve’s slower easing path and geopolitical tensions. Brent crude is set for a weekly loss, trading near $72 per barrel. The market is reacting to the Fed’s revised rate cut expectations and Trump’s demand for increased EU purchases of US oil and gas. Additionally, concerns over Chinese demand, rising production, and potential sanctions on Iran and Russia are contributing to oil’s rangebound trading since mid-October.

Original Source: Yahoo Finance

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The Bond King’s Golden Signal: Jeffrey Gundlach on Gold

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Stacked gold bars and scattered gold coins on a dark surface with a blurred financial chart and data table visible on a laptop screen in the background
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April CPI hit 3.8% — and gold dropped. If that feels backwards, it should. Here’s the chain: hot inflation forced traders to reprice the Fed toward rate hikes, which lifted the dollar, which pressured gold. The short-term mechanics and the long-term case are two different things — and today is a perfect illustration of why.

Read More »
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Investor studying a falling gold price chart and a CPI inflation headline — illustrating why gold is down when inflation is high
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CPI Hits 3.8%. Gold Falls. The Mechanism Nobody Explains

April CPI just printed 3.8% — the highest reading since May 2023 — and gold is down anyway. A new hawkish Fed chair takes over Friday, the Strait of Hormuz is still closed, and central banks bought through gold’s entire 16% correction from its January high. Here’s what each of those facts actually means for long-term holders.

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