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Fed’s Bowman and Schmid Push Back Against Rate Cut Expectations

Fed Governor Michelle Bowman and Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid have introduced a cautionary note to the rate cut narrative, suggesting that the Fed’s benchmark rate may already be approaching its neutral level following 100 basis points in cuts since September. Their position marks a notable contrast to other Fed officials, including Chairman Powell and Governor Waller, who maintain that rates are still restrictive enough to slow economic growth. Bowman specifically highlighted concerns about strong economic growth and a 20% rise in the stock market over the past year, warning that inflation progress could stall. Morgan Stanley’s Ellen Zentner predicts this divide among Fed officials will likely widen with the new rotation of voting members in 2024. The situation is further complicated by uncertainty surrounding the incoming Trump administration’s economic policies, with Bowman advocating a wait-and-see approach before making further policy decisions. Additionally, Bowman, who is considered a potential candidate for Fed vice chair for supervision, emphasized the need for increased transparency in bank regulation.

 
Two vintage house keys on a split wooden surface — left key tagged 2.65% in warm light, right key tagged 6.49% behind glass in cool shadow, with a 1oz fine gold bar centered between them — illustrating gold and Fed policy's generational divide in housing affordability
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Gold and Fed Policy: When the System Picks Winners

The Fed chair told Congress today that rate policy gave one generation a once-in-a-lifetime shot at homeownership and priced the next one out. That admission — made under oath — is the clearest official statement yet of what sound money holders have long understood: the dollar system picks winners and losers based on timing. Gold doesn’t.

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Silver price outlook July 2026 — XAG/USD daily chart showing silver's spike to $121 in January 2026 and correction to $58.99, with a physical silver bar in the foreground.
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Silver Price Outlook July 2026: Two Catalysts, One Setup

Silver trades at $58.55 — down 52% from its January all-time high, yet the supply deficit is widening, the gold-silver ratio sits at 69:1, and institutional forecasts remain well above current prices. Here is what June CPI and the July 28–29 FOMC meeting mean for silver right now.

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Gold coins stacked next to a US dollar bill — why the 10-5-3 rule fails gold and silver investors
Articles

Why the 10-5-3 Rule Fails Gold and Silver Investors

Excerpt:
The 10-5-3 rule helps investors set return expectations for stocks, bonds, and cash. But gold and silver aren’t paper assets — and measuring them with a framework built for yield and earnings leads to the wrong conclusions every time. Here’s what precious metals investors use instead.

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Two vintage house keys on a split wooden surface — left key tagged 2.65% in warm light, right key tagged 6.49% behind glass in cool shadow, with a 1oz fine gold bar centered between them — illustrating gold and Fed policy's generational divide in housing affordability
News

Gold and Fed Policy: When the System Picks Winners

The Fed chair told Congress today that rate policy gave one generation a once-in-a-lifetime shot at homeownership and priced the next one out. That admission — made under oath — is the clearest official statement yet of what sound money holders have long understood: the dollar system picks winners and losers based on timing. Gold doesn’t.

Read More »

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