Silver Rises Over 120% YTD 
The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index, showed a slight deceleration in November 2024. The core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, rose by 0.1% month-over-month, lower than October’s 0.3% increase and below economists’ expectations of 0.2%. On an annual basis, core PCE remained steady at 2.8%, while overall PCE increased to 2.4% from 2.3% in October, both figures coming in below forecasts. This data suggests progress in the Fed’s battle against inflation, though price increases remain above the central bank’s 2% target.
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Retail Investors Just Set a Record. History Says Be Careful.
Retail investors just poured a record $48 billion into U.S. stocks in 21 days — at all-time highs. History shows similar surges in optimism often occur near major market peaks, including 1999 and 2007. With household equity allocations at historic extremes, the bigger question isn’t just how high stocks can go — but how much risk is quietly building beneath the surface.
February 17, 2026
