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Gold Defies Market Logic as Fiscal Fears Drive Safe Haven Buying

Gold is demonstrating strength in early 2024, defying its typical inverse relationship with dollar strength and Treasury yields. The precious metal’s rise to four-week highs, despite these traditional headwinds, signals a fundamental shift in market sentiment driven by deep concerns about U.S. fiscal stability. Market experts, including Gold Newsletter’s Brien Lundin, suggest that the simultaneous rise in Treasury yields, dollar strength, and gold prices reflects growing unease about U.S. debt levels and deficits relative to GDP. The Federal Reserve’s potential loss of control over rates has further fueled this trend, pushing investors from central banks to individuals toward gold as the “ultimate safe haven.” This shift has helped gold futures reach $2,690.80 per ounce, marking a 1.9% gain in 2024 despite conditions that historically would have pressured prices.

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