Gold prices gained momentum as both the U.S. dollar index and Treasury yields retreated, with spot prices rising 0.4% to $2,687.59 per ounce and futures climbing over 1% to $2,710.00. Markets are particularly focused on upcoming CPI data, expected to show annual inflation increasing to 2.9% from November’s 2.7%. According to Saxo Bank’s Ole Hansen, market uncertainty is heightened by both the pending inflation data and political considerations, including Trump’s proposed import tariffs that could impact inflation and complicate the Federal Reserve’s rate decisions. Despite Tuesday’s moderate PPI increase, analysts suggest rate cuts may not materialize until the second half of the year.

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Tariff Refunds, Dollar Weakness, the AI Bust: Gold’s Case
Gold and silver market update — April 21, 2026 In this update: Five stories made headlines this week that have nothing obvious to do with gold — tariff refunds, Apple’s leadership change, a weakening dollar, Canada’s political shift, and an AI productivity bust. Together, they are gold structural tailwinds. Here’s what each one means. Who’s Actually Getting the $166 Billion in Tariff Refunds? Not you. The US government opened a refund portal this week for $166 billion in tariff money — duties the Supreme Court struck down as unconstitutional in February. Over 56,000 importers have now registered, claiming $127 billion in Phase 1 alone. However, the refunds





