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Guggenheim Sees Four Fed Rate Cuts in 2025, Bucking Market Consensus

Guggenheim Partners’ Chief Investment Officer Anne Walsh has laid out a bold forecast for 2025, predicting quarterly Federal Reserve rate cuts totaling 75-100 basis points, contrasting sharply with market expectations that have recently scaled back to just one or two cuts.

Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Walsh expressed a more optimistic view on Trump’s trade policies, suggesting tariffs will likely average less than 10% and be more targeted than markets fear, particularly while the dollar maintains its reserve currency status.

On the investment front, Walsh sees opportunities in both bonds and equities, highlighting that the bond market’s recent range-bound trading creates interesting possibilities.

She identifies 5% yields on 10-year Treasury bonds as an “extreme” buying opportunity and expects tight yield spreads to benefit U.S. equities.

Walsh projects 8-10% returns for the S&P 500 by the end of 2025, driven by artificial intelligence, energy sector developments, and manufacturing reshoring, while cautioning that political-policy tensions could create significant market volatility throughout the year.

Gold bars beside a tablet showing a price spike and correction chart — a guide for investors who bought gold at the top
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Buying the Top: A Survival Guide for Gold and Silver Investors

Gold hit $5,589 in January 2026. It trades near $4,100 today. If you bought near the top, your paper loss is real — but it is not final. This guide walks through your three strategic paths: hold patiently, dollar-cost average at lower prices, or harvest the tax loss and immediately repurchase. The structural case for gold has not changed. The price has.

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