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Guggenheim Sees Four Fed Rate Cuts in 2025, Bucking Market Consensus

Guggenheim Partners’ Chief Investment Officer Anne Walsh has laid out a bold forecast for 2025, predicting quarterly Federal Reserve rate cuts totaling 75-100 basis points, contrasting sharply with market expectations that have recently scaled back to just one or two cuts.

Speaking at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Walsh expressed a more optimistic view on Trump’s trade policies, suggesting tariffs will likely average less than 10% and be more targeted than markets fear, particularly while the dollar maintains its reserve currency status.

On the investment front, Walsh sees opportunities in both bonds and equities, highlighting that the bond market’s recent range-bound trading creates interesting possibilities.

She identifies 5% yields on 10-year Treasury bonds as an “extreme” buying opportunity and expects tight yield spreads to benefit U.S. equities.

Walsh projects 8-10% returns for the S&P 500 by the end of 2025, driven by artificial intelligence, energy sector developments, and manufacturing reshoring, while cautioning that political-policy tensions could create significant market volatility throughout the year.

Trading terminal displaying silver spot price at $84.00 with intraday high of $86.50 and low of $83.28 — silver price forecast 2026
Articles

Silver Price Outlook May 2026: Stop Chasing the Number

Silver hit $121.64 in January, corrected hard through April, then surged 6% in a single session on May 11 after a US-China tariff truce — before pulling back again on sticky inflation data. In May 2026, silver is not short of drama. What it is short of is clarity. These four numbers provide it.

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What Do Central Banks Know About Gold That You Don't?
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What Do Central Banks Know About Gold That You Don’t?

Central banks purchased a net 244 metric tons of gold in Q1 2026 — the fastest pace in over a year — despite prices hitting a record $5,405 per ounce. The World Gold Council data reveals who’s buying, who’s selling, and why this relentless accumulation at all-time highs signals a growing loss of confidence in fiat currencies. If central banks are protecting themselves regardless of price, the rest of us should be paying attention.

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Gold bars resting on cracked stone surface — why is gold near all-time highs as five institutional systems crack simultaneously
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Gold Near $4,700: The Chaos Isn’t a Ceiling. It’s a Floor

Gold is holding near all-time highs because five institutional systems are under simultaneous stress: a new Fed chair inheriting uncontrollable inflation, mortgage rates at a six-month high, India’s gold market fracturing under a sudden import duty hike, a US-Iran ceasefire on life support, and a World Bank forecast of 42% precious metals gains in 2026. These aren’t five separate stories. They’re the same story told five ways.

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Latest News

What Do Central Banks Know About Gold That You Don't?
Videos

What Do Central Banks Know About Gold That You Don’t?

Central banks purchased a net 244 metric tons of gold in Q1 2026 — the fastest pace in over a year — despite prices hitting a record $5,405 per ounce. The World Gold Council data reveals who’s buying, who’s selling, and why this relentless accumulation at all-time highs signals a growing loss of confidence in fiat currencies. If central banks are protecting themselves regardless of price, the rest of us should be paying attention.

Read More »
Gold bars resting on cracked stone surface — why is gold near all-time highs as five institutional systems crack simultaneously
News

Gold Near $4,700: The Chaos Isn’t a Ceiling. It’s a Floor

Gold is holding near all-time highs because five institutional systems are under simultaneous stress: a new Fed chair inheriting uncontrollable inflation, mortgage rates at a six-month high, India’s gold market fracturing under a sudden import duty hike, a US-Iran ceasefire on life support, and a World Bank forecast of 42% precious metals gains in 2026. These aren’t five separate stories. They’re the same story told five ways.

Read More »

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