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IMF Forecast: Tariff Wars Could Push Global Debt to Post-WWII Record

IMF projections show global public debt will exceed pandemic-era peaks, approaching 100% of global GDP by 2030. After reaching 98.9% during COVID in 2020 and dropping 10 percentage points over two years, debt is now climbing rapidly again.

The IMF cites U.S. tariff announcements and potential international countermeasures as key factors driving economic uncertainty. Global fiscal deficits are expected to reach 5.1% of GDP in 2025, up slightly from 5.0% in 2024.

If President Trump implements steeper tariffs triggering retaliatory measures, debt could surge past 117% of GDP by 2027—the highest since World War II. Though only one-third of IMF member countries show accelerating debt growth compared to pre-pandemic levels, these nations make up 80% of global GDP, concentrating the problem in major economies.

Original Source: Yahoo Finance

How COMEX Sets Gold Prices and Moves the Market
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How COMEX Sets Gold Prices and Moves the Market

COMEX gold prices drive the global market, but most investors don’t fully understand how. This guide explains how gold futures trading on COMEX sets the daily price of gold, why most contracts never result in physical delivery, and how “paper gold” can influence short-term volatility—even when physical demand remains strong.

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February 20, 2026
Paper Gold vs Physical Gold: Which Is Safer?
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Paper Gold vs Physical Gold: Which Is Safer?

When markets turn volatile, the difference between paper gold vs physical gold becomes critical. While ETFs, futures, and unallocated accounts offer convenient price exposure inside the financial system, physical gold provides direct ownership outside of it. Understanding counterparty risk, margin-driven volatility, and ownership structure helps investors choose the approach that aligns with long-term wealth preservation and portfolio protection goals.

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February 19, 2026
Gold Just Closed Above $5,000. What Happens Next?
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Gold Just Closed Above $5,000. What Happens Next?

Gold has officially posted a weekly all-time high above $5,000, signaling sustained momentum rather than short-term volatility. History shows that clusters of record weekly closes often occur during the strongest phases of a bull market. From the 1970s surge to today’s extended streak, past cycles suggest the most explosive gains have historically come later — not earlier. Could this pattern point toward a powerful final phase into 2027?

Read More »
February 19, 2026

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How COMEX Sets Gold Prices and Moves the Market
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Gold Just Closed Above $5,000. What Happens Next?
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Gold Just Closed Above $5,000. What Happens Next?

Gold has officially posted a weekly all-time high above $5,000, signaling sustained momentum rather than short-term volatility. History shows that clusters of record weekly closes often occur during the strongest phases of a bull market. From the 1970s surge to today’s extended streak, past cycles suggest the most explosive gains have historically come later — not earlier. Could this pattern point toward a powerful final phase into 2027?

Read More »
February 19, 2026
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