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JPM Predicts Gold Surge as Central Banks Load Up

JP Morgan forecasts gold prices will reach $3000 per ounce in 2025, driven primarily by continued central bank purchases and ETF inflows.

Following a 27% rally in 2024, the outlook remains strong with central bank buying up 54% year-over-year in late 2024, including renewed purchasing by China’s central bank.

The bank identifies two scenarios – either increased trade tensions and inflation, or a Federal Reserve easing cycle – both of which could push gold prices higher. Adding to the bullish outlook, JP Morgan notes that with over $6 trillion currently in money market funds and ETF holdings 6% below 2020 levels, there’s significant potential for increased investment demand, particularly if money market fund attractiveness diminishes under a more stable macro environment in 2025.

Stack of gold coins standing still on a dark reflective surface as ripples spread outward, illustrating how Fed rate hike gold pressure creates short-term waves without moving the structural floor.
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Half the Fed Wants a Hike. 45% of Central Banks Are Buying More Gold.

The Fed’s June 2026 dot plot split the committee down the middle on rate hikes, the dollar surged to its highest since May 2025, and silver posted its sharpest drop in weeks before recovering nearly 70% of the loss. The same week, the World Gold Council reported a record 45% of central banks plan to add gold. The headwinds are real. So is the floor.

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Stack of gold coins standing still on a dark reflective surface as ripples spread outward, illustrating how Fed rate hike gold pressure creates short-term waves without moving the structural floor.
News

Half the Fed Wants a Hike. 45% of Central Banks Are Buying More Gold.

The Fed’s June 2026 dot plot split the committee down the middle on rate hikes, the dollar surged to its highest since May 2025, and silver posted its sharpest drop in weeks before recovering nearly 70% of the loss. The same week, the World Gold Council reported a record 45% of central banks plan to add gold. The headwinds are real. So is the floor.

Read More »
A polished silver bar on a dark trading desk with two monitors in soft focus behind it — one showing a green upward price chart, one showing a red declining chart — illustrating silver price today and the dual forces of the Iran deal bid and FOMC reassertion driving the intraday whipsaw on June 18, 2026
News

Silver Hit $69.85 This Morning. Then the FOMC Took It All Back.

Silver climbed 2.8% on the Iran peace deal this morning, then gave it all back as the FOMC’s rate-hike signal reasserted itself. Gold barely moved. The gap between the two metals today shows exactly why silver behaves differently — and what physical holders need to understand about both forces.

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