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Junk Debt Market Races Against Time as Trump’s Tariff Threat Looms

The impending Trump presidency has triggered widespread anxiety in the junk debt market, particularly in Europe, where companies are racing to secure financing ahead of potential tariff implementations.

The market has seen its busiest start since 2017, with 19 out of 28 loan tranches being repricings as companies seek to lock in favorable terms.

Lenders are conducting extensive due diligence, exemplified by Hunter Douglas’s two-hour creditor call that focused heavily on tariff impact assessments.

Investment managers are already adjusting their portfolios, shifting away from vulnerable sectors like automobiles and chemicals toward domestic industries less exposed to trade tensions.

While European high-yield borrowers are expected to face the initial impact, there are broader concerns about potential inflationary pressures and their effect on Federal Reserve policy, which could impact the entire credit market.

Does Physical Gold Have Counterparty Risk? The Facts
Articles

Does Physical Gold Have Counterparty Risk? The Facts

When you deposit money at a bank, you are not storing it. You are lending it. Physical gold counterparty risk is zero because allocated metal is not a claim on any institution — it cannot be frozen, diluted, or devalued by policy. This explainer covers the mechanism and how to structure both approaches correctly.

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Gold Near $4,330 as Rate-Hike Bets Hit 70% and China Acts
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Gold Near $4,330 as Rate-Hike Bets Hit 70% and China Acts

Five forces are moving gold and silver right now. Strong U.S. jobs data has pushed Fed rate-hike odds above 70%. China’s biggest banks raised gold trading margins to 120% — pushing leverage below 1x. The People’s Bank of China extended its buying streak to 19 straight months. Iran announced an end to its military operation against Israel, steadying metals after last week’s 5% pullback. And elevated oil is keeping inflation expectations alive. Here is what each one means for long-term precious metals holders.

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Gold Is Down 22% — The Same Drop as 2022. The Floor Is Not the Same.
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Gold Is Down 22% — The Same Drop as 2022. The Floor Is Not the Same.

Gold has fallen 22% from its January 2026 all-time high of $5,589 — the same magnitude as the entire 2022 Fed hiking cycle. But in 2022, the Fed delivered 525 actual basis points of rate increases. Today, markets are pricing roughly a 43–50% probability of a single speculative hike that hasn’t happened yet. Same number. Very different floor. Here’s what the gap between those two corrections is telling long-term holders of physical gold.

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Silver Falls 6% on Jobs Beat. The Six-Year Deficit Didn't.
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Silver Falls 6% on Jobs Beat. The Six-Year Deficit Didn’t.

Silver fell nearly 6% after May’s blowout jobs report sent rate hike odds to 67% and the 10-year Treasury to 4.54%. Gold dropped too — but only half as much. Here’s why: silver runs on two engines. The jobs report hit the monetary one hard. The industrial one — solar, EVs, AI infrastructure — didn’t flinch. And the World Silver Survey 2026 deficit of 46.3 million ounces? Unchanged. One Friday’s data moves prices. It doesn’t move ounces.

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Latest News

Gold Near $4,330 as Rate-Hike Bets Hit 70% and China Acts
News

Gold Near $4,330 as Rate-Hike Bets Hit 70% and China Acts

Five forces are moving gold and silver right now. Strong U.S. jobs data has pushed Fed rate-hike odds above 70%. China’s biggest banks raised gold trading margins to 120% — pushing leverage below 1x. The People’s Bank of China extended its buying streak to 19 straight months. Iran announced an end to its military operation against Israel, steadying metals after last week’s 5% pullback. And elevated oil is keeping inflation expectations alive. Here is what each one means for long-term precious metals holders.

Read More »
Gold Is Down 22% — The Same Drop as 2022. The Floor Is Not the Same.
News

Gold Is Down 22% — The Same Drop as 2022. The Floor Is Not the Same.

Gold has fallen 22% from its January 2026 all-time high of $5,589 — the same magnitude as the entire 2022 Fed hiking cycle. But in 2022, the Fed delivered 525 actual basis points of rate increases. Today, markets are pricing roughly a 43–50% probability of a single speculative hike that hasn’t happened yet. Same number. Very different floor. Here’s what the gap between those two corrections is telling long-term holders of physical gold.

Read More »
Silver Falls 6% on Jobs Beat. The Six-Year Deficit Didn't.
News

Silver Falls 6% on Jobs Beat. The Six-Year Deficit Didn’t.

Silver fell nearly 6% after May’s blowout jobs report sent rate hike odds to 67% and the 10-year Treasury to 4.54%. Gold dropped too — but only half as much. Here’s why: silver runs on two engines. The jobs report hit the monetary one hard. The industrial one — solar, EVs, AI infrastructure — didn’t flinch. And the World Silver Survey 2026 deficit of 46.3 million ounces? Unchanged. One Friday’s data moves prices. It doesn’t move ounces.

Read More »

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