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Junk Debt Market Races Against Time as Trump’s Tariff Threat Looms

The impending Trump presidency has triggered widespread anxiety in the junk debt market, particularly in Europe, where companies are racing to secure financing ahead of potential tariff implementations.

The market has seen its busiest start since 2017, with 19 out of 28 loan tranches being repricings as companies seek to lock in favorable terms.

Lenders are conducting extensive due diligence, exemplified by Hunter Douglas’s two-hour creditor call that focused heavily on tariff impact assessments.

Investment managers are already adjusting their portfolios, shifting away from vulnerable sectors like automobiles and chemicals toward domestic industries less exposed to trade tensions.

While European high-yield borrowers are expected to face the initial impact, there are broader concerns about potential inflationary pressures and their effect on Federal Reserve policy, which could impact the entire credit market.

Oil Crashed 11%. Gold Went Up. That Tells You Everything.
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Oil Crashed 11%. Gold Went Up. That Tells You Everything.

Oil crashed 11% on Friday when Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz. Gold went up. That rare divergence — oil down, gold up, same catalyst — signals that gold’s rally is driven by monetary forces, not geopolitical ones. The war premium left oil. The monetary premium stayed in gold. Here is what that means for precious metals investors watching the Fed’s next move.

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Latest News

Oil Crashed 11%. Gold Went Up. That Tells You Everything.
News

Oil Crashed 11%. Gold Went Up. That Tells You Everything.

Oil crashed 11% on Friday when Iran reopened the Strait of Hormuz. Gold went up. That rare divergence — oil down, gold up, same catalyst — signals that gold’s rally is driven by monetary forces, not geopolitical ones. The war premium left oil. The monetary premium stayed in gold. Here is what that means for precious metals investors watching the Fed’s next move.

Read More »
Gold During the 1929 Crash: What History Tells Us
Videos

Gold During the 1929 Crash: What History Tells Us

When the Dow lost 89.2% between 1929 and 1932, gold preserved its purchasing power. Across every major crisis since — 2000, 2008, 2020 — the same pattern held. Here’s what the historical record says about gold during a stock market crash, and what investors did differently.

Read More »

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