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Markets Digest 25% Foreign Auto Tariffs as Treasury Yields Climb

U.S. Treasury yields moved higher on Thursday with the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield increasing more than three basis points to 4.371% and the 2-year yield rising slightly to 4.012%.

Investors are processing President Trump’s announcement of new 25% tariffs on all foreign-manufactured automobiles, though cars with U.S.-made parts will be exempt. These tariffs add to growing concerns about potential economic impacts amid signs of weakness in the U.S. economy, including consumer confidence hitting a 12-year low.

However, the latest unemployment data offered some reassurance, with initial jobless claims at 224,000 for the week ending March 22 (down 1,000 from the previous week and close to estimates), while continuing claims also decreased slightly. Market attention is now turning to Friday’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures index, which is the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation indicator.

Gold price outlook August 2026: chart showing gold's correction and recovery, with Jobs, CPI, and PPI data releases marking the turning point
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Gold Price Outlook August 2026: What Three Data Prints in One Week Mean for Your Metals

Gold is up 10% in August from near $4,000 — its best monthly gain since January. Three data prints in one week flipped the September rate-hike calculus: jobs, CPI, and PPI all came in soft. Hike odds fell from 50% to 31%. Central banks bought a quarterly record 288.9 tonnes in Q2 even as prices fell. Here is what it means for gold holders — and what to watch before the September 15–16 FOMC.

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Gold bar resting on a crumpled supermarket receipt on a checkout counter, with a blurred retail store aisle in the background — illustrating how falling consumer sentiment and rising inflation expectations are driving gold prices higher in August 2026.
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Gold Rebounds to $4,392 as Sentiment Crashes to 51 and Inflation Expectations Rise

The University of Michigan’s August Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 51 — missing the 54.5 consensus and ending two months of improvement — while inflation expectations rose to 4.3%. The simultaneous drop in growth confidence and rise in price expectations creates a stagflation signal that limits the Federal Reserve’s options and extends gold’s tailwind heading into September.

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Latest News

Gold bar resting on a crumpled supermarket receipt on a checkout counter, with a blurred retail store aisle in the background — illustrating how falling consumer sentiment and rising inflation expectations are driving gold prices higher in August 2026.
News

Gold Rebounds to $4,392 as Sentiment Crashes to 51 and Inflation Expectations Rise

The University of Michigan’s August Consumer Sentiment Index fell to 51 — missing the 54.5 consensus and ending two months of improvement — while inflation expectations rose to 4.3%. The simultaneous drop in growth confidence and rise in price expectations creates a stagflation signal that limits the Federal Reserve’s options and extends gold’s tailwind heading into September.

Read More »

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