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Markets Surge as Core Inflation Cools; Rate Cut Hopes Revive

US markets surged across the board following December’s inflation report, which showed core CPI easing to 0.2% monthly growth after four consecutive months at 0.3%. The S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and Dow all climbed approximately 1.5%, while Treasury yields tumbled and the dollar weakened against major currencies. While market sentiment improved significantly, with swap traders now pricing in a July rate cut, analysts remain cautious. Goldman Sachs Asset Management notes that while the data strengthens the case for eventual cuts, the strong labor market gives the Fed room to be patient. Morgan Stanley Wealth Management suggests that while a January rate cut remains unlikely, the data should quell recent speculation about potential rate increases. Principal Asset Management adds that consecutive soft inflation prints and weaker payroll data would be needed to put a March cut back on the table.

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