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Oil Set for Weekly Gain as U.S. Targets Iran Exports; Tariff Fears Ease

Oil markets are performing well this week despite ongoing geopolitical complexities. Brent crude advanced toward a 1% weekly gain, trading at $75.43 per barrel, while WTI crude remained stable around $71.06.

The positive momentum stems from two key factors: the U.S. Treasury’s aggressive plan to reduce Iranian oil exports by over 90%, and President Trump’s measured approach to reciprocal tariffs, opting for study rather than immediate implementation.

However, market analyst Stephen Innes suggests that while prices may trend lower, an immediate collapse is unlikely. The potential resolution of the Russia-Ukraine conflict has partially reduced the fear premium in oil prices, though fundamental supply-demand dynamics remain the primary price drivers. Meanwhile, natural gas emerged as a standout performer, surging toward a 13% weekly gain.

Gold bars on a trading desk with gold price chart and news feed on screens — gold decoupling from geopolitics as monetary floor holds
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Gold Is Decoupling From Geopolitics. Here’s the Proof

Gold rose 3% on Iran peace news Wednesday. It held those gains Thursday when the US military briefed Trump on strike options. Same metal, opposite headlines, same price — because the monetary floor beneath gold is now larger than any geopolitical premium on top of it.

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A brass balance scale on a wooden desk with gold bars and coins on one side outweighing US dollar bills on the other, set against a dark blurred bookshelf background
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Gold vs Stocks vs Real Estate: What the Data Shows

Stocks are at historically extreme valuations. The 40-year bond bull market is over. Real estate carries new structural risks. When you compare gold vs stocks vs real estate through a data lens, one asset class stands apart — and the macro conditions driving it are only getting stronger.

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Gold bullion bars on dark marble surface with rising price chart, illustrating the Iran deal gold price impact and Fed rate cuts thesis
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Gold Jumps on Iran Deal Hopes. The Real Driver Is the Fed

Gold and silver spiked Wednesday after Axios reported the US and Iran are close to a one-page peace deal. Most coverage is calling it a safe-haven trade. It isn’t. A Hormuz reopening lowers oil, cools PCE inflation, and gives the Fed room to cut rates — and compressed real yields are the engine behind every major gold rally. Here’s why the mechanism matters more than the headline.

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Latest News

Gold bars on a trading desk with gold price chart and news feed on screens — gold decoupling from geopolitics as monetary floor holds
News

Gold Is Decoupling From Geopolitics. Here’s the Proof

Gold rose 3% on Iran peace news Wednesday. It held those gains Thursday when the US military briefed Trump on strike options. Same metal, opposite headlines, same price — because the monetary floor beneath gold is now larger than any geopolitical premium on top of it.

Read More »
A brass balance scale on a wooden desk with gold bars and coins on one side outweighing US dollar bills on the other, set against a dark blurred bookshelf background
Videos

Gold vs Stocks vs Real Estate: What the Data Shows

Stocks are at historically extreme valuations. The 40-year bond bull market is over. Real estate carries new structural risks. When you compare gold vs stocks vs real estate through a data lens, one asset class stands apart — and the macro conditions driving it are only getting stronger.

Read More »

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