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Recession Fears and Rate Cut Expectations Drive Gold to New Heights

Gold prices surged over 2% on Wednesday, reaching $3,061.92 an ounce for spot gold, as investors flocked to this traditional safe-haven asset amid escalating global trade tensions. The market reacted strongly to U.S. President Trump’s 104% tariffs on Chinese goods taking effect, which prompted China’s retaliatory 84% tariffs on U.S. goods (up from 34% previously announced). This trade war escalation has raised serious concerns about global recession risks.

The weaker U.S. dollar (down 0.7%) has made gold more attractive for overseas buyers, while expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts have further supported gold’s rise. Nearly 60% of traders anticipate Fed rate cuts beginning as early as May, with UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo predicting gold prices could reach $3,200/oz in the coming months. Gold, which yields no interest, typically performs well in low-interest environments. The precious metal has already gained more than $400 in 2025, hitting a record high of $3,167.57 on April 3, and gold-backed ETFs saw their largest quarterly inflow in three years during Q1 2025.

Bank vault door in sharp focus with a blurred home safe in the foreground, illustrating why a home storage gold IRA isn't legal
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The No-Home-Storage-IRA Myth: Why the IRS Requires a Depository

A home storage gold IRA sounds convenient, but the IRS doesn’t allow it. This piece walks through why: the 2021 Tax Court case that settled the question, what Section 408(m)(3) actually requires, and the two-step compliant path — custodian, then depository — for holding gold and silver in a retirement account.

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American Gold Eagle coin and a gold bullion bar, the two product types eligible for a gold IRA
Articles

What Is a Gold IRA? The Purity Rule the IRS Never Wrote

A gold IRA is a self-directed retirement account holding physical bullion. This guide covers where the 99.5% purity standard genuinely comes from, why the American Gold Eagle qualifies at 91.67%, where the metal must legally be stored, and the 2026 contribution limits.

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Bank vault door in sharp focus with a blurred home safe in the foreground, illustrating why a home storage gold IRA isn't legal
News

The No-Home-Storage-IRA Myth: Why the IRS Requires a Depository

A home storage gold IRA sounds convenient, but the IRS doesn’t allow it. This piece walks through why: the 2021 Tax Court case that settled the question, what Section 408(m)(3) actually requires, and the two-step compliant path — custodian, then depository — for holding gold and silver in a retirement account.

Read More »

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