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Strong Jobs Data Crushes Hopes for July Fed Rate Cut

The US job market showed surprising strength in June, adding 147,000 jobs – well above the 106,000 economists expected.

The unemployment rate dropped to 4.1%, defying predictions it would rise to 4.3%. This positive news reduced expectations for an immediate Federal Reserve interest rate cut, with markets now seeing only a 5% chance of a July cut.

Despite some recent signs of cooling, including private sector job losses reported by ADP, the overall labor market remains resilient.

Gold vs. Stocks in 2026: What Q1 Returns Show
Articles

Gold vs. Stocks in 2026: What Q1 Returns Show

The first quarter of 2026 ended with an unusually clear message: energy prices are surging, equities are suffering, and gold is holding its ground. A look at cross-asset returns shows where the conflict premium is showing up — and where it isn’t.

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Why Is Gold Falling When the World Is on Fire?
News

Why Is Gold Falling When the World Is on Fire?

Why is gold falling when the world is on fire? This piece breaks down the five forces behind the selloff: Iran’s oil shock, the March jobs surprise, the Fed’s stagflation trap, Goldman’s $5,400 gold thesis, and whether the safe-haven story is broken or just deferred.

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Latest News

Why Is Gold Falling When the World Is on Fire?
News

Why Is Gold Falling When the World Is on Fire?

Why is gold falling when the world is on fire? This piece breaks down the five forces behind the selloff: Iran’s oil shock, the March jobs surprise, the Fed’s stagflation trap, Goldman’s $5,400 gold thesis, and whether the safe-haven story is broken or just deferred.

Read More »

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