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The Stagflation Threat: How Trump’s Trade Wars Could Cripple Economic Growth

In a recent Opinion piece on MarketWatch, columnist Stephen Roach argues that Trump’s “America First” protectionism is leading the US toward prolonged stagflation – a combination of slow economic growth and high inflation.

Unlike the temporary supply chain disruptions during COVID-19, Trump’s trade policies represent a permanent decoupling from global trade networks, especially with China and potentially even with North American partners.

This reversal of supply chain efficiencies could eliminate the 0.5 percentage point reduction in inflation that the US has enjoyed annually over the past decade.

Reshoring manufacturing to the US won’t be quick or easy, as production platforms take years to develop, and policy uncertainty may cause delays or cancellations of planned investments.

Stack of gold coins standing still on a dark reflective surface as ripples spread outward, illustrating how Fed rate hike gold pressure creates short-term waves without moving the structural floor.
News

Half the Fed Wants a Hike. 45% of Central Banks Are Buying More Gold.

The Fed’s June 2026 dot plot split the committee down the middle on rate hikes, the dollar surged to its highest since May 2025, and silver posted its sharpest drop in weeks before recovering nearly 70% of the loss. The same week, the World Gold Council reported a record 45% of central banks plan to add gold. The headwinds are real. So is the floor.

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Stack of gold coins standing still on a dark reflective surface as ripples spread outward, illustrating how Fed rate hike gold pressure creates short-term waves without moving the structural floor.
News

Half the Fed Wants a Hike. 45% of Central Banks Are Buying More Gold.

The Fed’s June 2026 dot plot split the committee down the middle on rate hikes, the dollar surged to its highest since May 2025, and silver posted its sharpest drop in weeks before recovering nearly 70% of the loss. The same week, the World Gold Council reported a record 45% of central banks plan to add gold. The headwinds are real. So is the floor.

Read More »
A polished silver bar on a dark trading desk with two monitors in soft focus behind it — one showing a green upward price chart, one showing a red declining chart — illustrating silver price today and the dual forces of the Iran deal bid and FOMC reassertion driving the intraday whipsaw on June 18, 2026
News

Silver Hit $69.85 This Morning. Then the FOMC Took It All Back.

Silver climbed 2.8% on the Iran peace deal this morning, then gave it all back as the FOMC’s rate-hike signal reasserted itself. Gold barely moved. The gap between the two metals today shows exactly why silver behaves differently — and what physical holders need to understand about both forces.

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