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Trade War Consequences: Apollo Economist Predicts Rapid Descent into Summer Recession

Apollo Global Management warns that Trump’s tariffs could trigger a summer recession, with Americans experiencing store shortages as early as May.

According to their chief economist Torsten Slok, the timeline begins with April’s tariff announcements disrupting shipping from China, leading to supply chain issues by May, retail and trucking industry layoffs by June, and ultimately a recession by summer 2025.

While Treasury Secretary Bessent acknowledges trade tensions with China are “unsustainable,” he doesn’t predict a full recession, and some analysts note existing inventory may delay visible impacts.

Original Source: CNBC

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Hormuz, the Fed, and the Battle for Safe-Haven Status

Gold dropped 4% as the dollar claimed the safe-haven trade. With oil surging, the Strait of Hormuz under threat, and the Fed trapped between inflation and a slowdown, here’s what today’s market chaos means — and why the calculus could shift.

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March 3, 2026
Gold vs. Silver: Roles, Risks, and Portfolio Strategy
Articles

Gold vs. Silver: Roles, Risks, and Portfolio Strategy

Gold and silver portfolio allocation isn’t about predicting which metal will outperform. It’s about understanding their roles. Gold offers stability, liquidity, and long-term purchasing power protection. Silver brings industrial demand exposure and greater upside potential — along with more volatility. The right balance depends on your goals, risk tolerance, and how precious metals fit within your broader investment strategy.

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March 2, 2026
Articles

Gold Prices Surge on Middle East Tensions 

Gold prices surge on Middle East tensions as U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iran rattle markets. Stocks fall, oil jumps, and the Fed faces renewed inflation pressure. Here’s what the conflict means for equities, policy, and precious metals.

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March 2, 2026
Gold Silver Prices: Short-Term Noise, Long-Term Signal
Articles

Gold Silver Prices: Short-Term Noise, Long-Term Signal

Gold and silver prices are full of short-term noise—daily swings driven by Fed commentary, currency moves, and speculative trading. But underneath the volatility lies a consistent long-term signal. Learn how to tell the difference, what structural forces actually drive precious metals prices over time, and how to build a strategy that stays focused on what matters most.

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February 27, 2026

Latest News

News
Hormuz, the Fed, and the Battle for Safe-Haven Status
Read More
Articles
Gold vs. Silver: Roles, Risks, and Portfolio Strategy
Read More
Articles
Gold Prices Surge on Middle East Tensions 
Read More
News

Hormuz, the Fed, and the Battle for Safe-Haven Status

Gold dropped 4% as the dollar claimed the safe-haven trade. With oil surging, the Strait of Hormuz under threat, and the Fed trapped between inflation and a slowdown, here’s what today’s market chaos means — and why the calculus could shift.

Read More »
March 3, 2026
Is $400 Silver Possible? What the 1979 Pattern Suggests
Videos

Is $400 Silver Possible? What the 1979 Pattern Suggests

Is $400 silver possible? A rare pattern not seen since 1979 has reappeared — clusters of consecutive weekly all-time highs. Historically, this structure preceded silver’s most explosive moves, including its near 700% surge into 1980. With momentum building again in 2025, the bigger question isn’t whether silver sounds extreme — it’s whether this bull market is closer to expansion than exhaustion.

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February 27, 2026
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