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Treasury Yields Fall to 2025 Lows on Middle East War Fears

Treasury yields dropped significantly on Wednesday, with 10- and 30-year rates hitting their lowest levels of 2025, driven by heightened Middle East tensions following President Trump’s comments about taking ownership of Gaza.

The flight-to-safety trade pushed the 10-year yield down 6.2 basis points to 4.449% and the 30-year yield down 7.5 basis points to 4.672%, marking their lowest points since December.

This bond market movement occurred against a backdrop of mixed economic signals, including stronger-than-expected ADP employment data showing 183,000 new jobs in January and a concerning jump in the U.S. trade deficit to $98.4 billion in December, its second-highest level ever.

Adding to the market context, Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin’s comments suggested rate hikes would only come with economic overheating, while the Treasury Department announced plans to maintain current auction sizes, providing some stability amid the geopolitical uncertainty.

Stack of gold coins standing still on a dark reflective surface as ripples spread outward, illustrating how Fed rate hike gold pressure creates short-term waves without moving the structural floor.
News

Half the Fed Wants a Hike. 45% of Central Banks Are Buying More Gold.

The Fed’s June 2026 dot plot split the committee down the middle on rate hikes, the dollar surged to its highest since May 2025, and silver posted its sharpest drop in weeks before recovering nearly 70% of the loss. The same week, the World Gold Council reported a record 45% of central banks plan to add gold. The headwinds are real. So is the floor.

Read More »
A polished silver bar on a dark trading desk with two monitors in soft focus behind it — one showing a green upward price chart, one showing a red declining chart — illustrating silver price today and the dual forces of the Iran deal bid and FOMC reassertion driving the intraday whipsaw on June 18, 2026
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Silver Hit $69.85 This Morning. Then the FOMC Took It All Back.

Silver climbed 2.8% on the Iran peace deal this morning, then gave it all back as the FOMC’s rate-hike signal reasserted itself. Gold barely moved. The gap between the two metals today shows exactly why silver behaves differently — and what physical holders need to understand about both forces.

Read More »

Latest News

Stack of gold coins standing still on a dark reflective surface as ripples spread outward, illustrating how Fed rate hike gold pressure creates short-term waves without moving the structural floor.
News

Half the Fed Wants a Hike. 45% of Central Banks Are Buying More Gold.

The Fed’s June 2026 dot plot split the committee down the middle on rate hikes, the dollar surged to its highest since May 2025, and silver posted its sharpest drop in weeks before recovering nearly 70% of the loss. The same week, the World Gold Council reported a record 45% of central banks plan to add gold. The headwinds are real. So is the floor.

Read More »
A polished silver bar on a dark trading desk with two monitors in soft focus behind it — one showing a green upward price chart, one showing a red declining chart — illustrating silver price today and the dual forces of the Iran deal bid and FOMC reassertion driving the intraday whipsaw on June 18, 2026
News

Silver Hit $69.85 This Morning. Then the FOMC Took It All Back.

Silver climbed 2.8% on the Iran peace deal this morning, then gave it all back as the FOMC’s rate-hike signal reasserted itself. Gold barely moved. The gap between the two metals today shows exactly why silver behaves differently — and what physical holders need to understand about both forces.

Read More »

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