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Treasury Yields Rise as Softer Inflation Data Eases Economic Concerns

Treasury yields rose Wednesday after milder-than-expected inflation data eased concerns about economic stagnation. The 10-year yield increased by 4 basis points to 4.328%, while the 2-year yield rose over 5 basis points to 3.999%.

February’s Consumer Price Index showed a 0.2% monthly increase (2.8% annual rate), below economists’ forecasts of 0.3% monthly and 2.9% annually. Core CPI also came in lower at 0.2% monthly and a 3.1% annual rate. This cooler inflation reduced immediate stagflation worries amid concerns about tariff impacts.

Goldman Sachs analyst Kay Haigh suggests the Fed will likely keep rates at 4.25%-4.50% this month, but may soon resume cutting rates as inflation eases while growth risks increase. Markets are also monitoring tariff developments, including Trump’s 25% steel and aluminum tariffs, Europe’s counter-tariffs on $28 billion of U.S. goods, and the suspended plan to double Canadian import tariffs.

Silver price outlook July 2026 — XAG/USD daily chart showing silver's spike to $121 in January 2026 and correction to $58.99, with a physical silver bar in the foreground.
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Silver Price Outlook July 2026: Two Catalysts, One Setup

Silver trades at $58.55 — down 52% from its January all-time high, yet the supply deficit is widening, the gold-silver ratio sits at 69:1, and institutional forecasts remain well above current prices. Here is what June CPI and the July 28–29 FOMC meeting mean for silver right now.

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Gold coins stacked next to a US dollar bill — why the 10-5-3 rule fails gold and silver investors
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Why the 10-5-3 Rule Fails Gold and Silver Investors

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The 10-5-3 rule helps investors set return expectations for stocks, bonds, and cash. But gold and silver aren’t paper assets — and measuring them with a framework built for yield and earnings leads to the wrong conclusions every time. Here’s what precious metals investors use instead.

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