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The Treasury’s upcoming $20 billion 10-year TIPS auction is set to yield around 2.25%, reaching levels not seen since the 2008 financial crisis.
Unlike 2008’s liquidity-driven yield spike, current levels reflect robust economic conditions and fiscal outlook concerns.
The previous TIPS auction in December showed weakening demand, with yields settling seven basis points above expectations.
Market dynamics have evolved significantly since 2008, with the TIPS market now three times larger and supported by more long-term investors and proactive Fed intervention policies.
