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U.S. Tariffs Hit Century-High Levels Despite Trump’s Partial Retreat

Despite President Trump’s partial retreat on tariffs, the average U.S. effective tariff rate remains at 25.3%, the highest since 1909, according to Yale’s Budget Lab.

Even after consumers shift to alternatives, the rate will be 18.1%, highest since 1934.

Consumers can expect significant price increases: clothing prices up 58% short-term and 26% long-term, food prices rising 2.5% initially and 2.9% long-term, and new car prices increasing by about $8,700.

China now faces a total tariff rate of 145%, while most other trading partners received a temporary reduction to 10%.

Raw silver granules held in an open palm, illustrating industrial silver supply
Articles

Silver Price Predictions for the Next 5 Years: Data-Backed Scenarios 

Silver currently trades around $80 per ounce after pulling back from its January 2026 all-time high. For the next five years, the data points to a range of $90–$200+ depending on how industrial demand, supply deficits, and monetary conditions evolve. Here are three data-backed scenarios — and exactly what to watch.

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Newspaper stand at sunrise with headlines about global markets, tariffs, and tech — gold structural tailwinds 2026
Articles

Tariff Refunds, Dollar Weakness, the AI Bust: Gold’s Case 

Gold and silver market update — April 21, 2026  In this update: Five stories made headlines this week that have nothing obvious to do with gold — tariff refunds, Apple’s leadership change, a weakening dollar, Canada’s political shift, and an AI productivity bust. Together, they are gold structural tailwinds. Here’s what each one means. Who’s Actually Getting the $166 Billion in Tariff Refunds?  Not you. The US government opened a refund portal this week for $166 billion in tariff money — duties the Supreme Court struck down as unconstitutional in February. Over 56,000 importers have now registered, claiming $127 billion in Phase 1 alone. However, the refunds

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American Gold Eagle coin resting on a printed chart showing a declining gold price during the Iran War
News

The Real Reason Gold Is Down During an Oil War 

Gold is down 10% since the Iran War began — while oil is up nearly 60%. If gold is an inflation hedge, why is it falling during an inflation shock? The answer comes down to one distinction most investors miss: paper gold and physical gold are not the same thing, and they don’t respond to the same forces.

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