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UBS: Gold to Hit $3,000 Amid Record Central Bank Demand

UBS has raised its gold price target to $3,000 as the precious metal surges past $2,900, gaining over 11% since mid-December despite Fed hawkishness.

The rally is primarily driven by unprecedented central bank buying, which reached 1,045 metric tons in 2024 – double the 2011-2021 average.

This sustained institutional demand, combined with growing geopolitical uncertainties – including unpredictable US trade policies and Middle East developments – has strengthened gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset.

These factors have led UBS to revise its price target to $3,000 per ounce over the next 12 months, with the bank suggesting investors consider structured investments to gain exposure to gold’s upside potential while managing downside risks.

Gold bars stacked on US Treasury yield schedule and debt documents showing the tension between gold and government debt in 2026
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Gold Is Up 41% From a Year Ago. The Fed Can’t Stop It

Gold is trading at $4,648/oz — up 41% from a year ago, down 14% from January’s record. Both numbers are true. The one that matters is the 41%. It held through a war, three hawkish Fed holds, and the most fractured FOMC vote since 1992. Here’s why that gap between the record and today’s price is a floor, not a warning.

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Gold bar in front of a laptop displaying CPI and inflation charts — illustrating the gold inflation paradox
Articles

The Gold Inflation Paradox Most Investors Miss

Gold fell around 15% from its all-time high while inflation hit a nearly 3-year peak. The inflation-hedge narrative isn’t wrong — it’s incomplete. Here’s what the data really shows about gold and rising prices.

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Gold bars stacked on US Treasury yield schedule and debt documents showing the tension between gold and government debt in 2026
News

Gold Is Up 41% From a Year Ago. The Fed Can’t Stop It

Gold is trading at $4,648/oz — up 41% from a year ago, down 14% from January’s record. Both numbers are true. The one that matters is the 41%. It held through a war, three hawkish Fed holds, and the most fractured FOMC vote since 1992. Here’s why that gap between the record and today’s price is a floor, not a warning.

Read More »

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