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UBS Raises Gold Forecast Amid Global Uncertainty, Sees $3,500 in 2025

UBS has raised its gold price forecast, now predicting gold will reach $3,500 in 2025 with the rally continuing into 2026.

Despite gold’s significant rally this year and bullish market sentiment, UBS tracking indicators suggest there’s still substantial potential for growth in gold investments.

UBS anticipates demand coming from diverse market segments including central banks, asset managers, macro funds, and private investors. On the supply side, mine production growth is expected to be limited, and scrap supply will likely be constrained due to the bullish outlook, though economic distress could increase scrap supply somewhat. The bank warns that the combination of increased demand and limited supply response could create liquidity challenges in the market, potentially leading to exaggerated price movements in the current volatile global market environment.

Inherited Gold IRA beneficiary designation form with a fountain pen and an American Gold Eagle coin, representing the paperwork that determines how a Gold IRA passes to heirs
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Inherited Gold IRA: Beneficiary Rules & the Step-Up Basis Gap

Physical gold you own outright gets a full step-up in basis at death. Gold inside a Gold IRA never does — it’s taxed to your heir as ordinary income instead, on a ten-year clock the IRS only fully clarified in 2024. Here’s what a beneficiary needs to know before a missed deadline costs 25% of the account.

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Ink drop spreading through still water, a visual metaphor for the Cantillon effect of uneven money distribution
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The Cantillon Effect: Why Money Printing Makes Some People Rich First

New money doesn’t reach everyone at once: banks and asset holders get it first, wage earners get it last, after prices have already moved. Using Fed balance-sheet data and its own Distributional Financial Accounts, this piece traces exactly how that sequence played out from 2008 to 2022, and why physical gold and silver sit outside the mechanism entirely.

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