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UBS Raises Gold Forecast Amid Global Uncertainty, Sees $3,500 in 2025

UBS has raised its gold price forecast, now predicting gold will reach $3,500 in 2025 with the rally continuing into 2026.

Despite gold’s significant rally this year and bullish market sentiment, UBS tracking indicators suggest there’s still substantial potential for growth in gold investments.

UBS anticipates demand coming from diverse market segments including central banks, asset managers, macro funds, and private investors. On the supply side, mine production growth is expected to be limited, and scrap supply will likely be constrained due to the bullish outlook, though economic distress could increase scrap supply somewhat. The bank warns that the combination of increased demand and limited supply response could create liquidity challenges in the market, potentially leading to exaggerated price movements in the current volatile global market environment.

Three gold bars stacked beside a taller stack of six silver bars, illustrating the widening gold-silver ratio in the October 2026 gold price outlook
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Stacked gold and silver bars with an oil pumpjack silhouetted at sunset, representing the gold silver ratio today
News

Gold Falls as Oil Pushes Fed Rate-Hike Bets Higher 

A sharp drop in gold and an even sharper one in silver looked like classic Fed-driven selling today, but the real trigger was oil. Here’s the mechanism connecting crude prices to rate expectations, and why the thesis behind owning metal hasn’t changed.

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