UBS Raises Gold Forecast Amid Global Uncertainty, Sees $3,500 in 2025

Inflation Data Opens Door for September Rate Cut The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge came in exactly as expected this morning. July’s core PCE rose 0.3% for the month and 2.9% year-over-year, while overall PCE climbed 0.2% monthly and 2.6% annually.  This goldilocks data — not too hot, not too cold — gives the Fed cover to cut rates at their September 16-17 meeting. Fed Governor Christopher Waller went public yesterday, backing a quarter-point cut and warning about deteriorating job conditions. He sees more cuts coming over the next 3-6 months as the Fed moves toward a “neutral” 3% rate. The

Gold Steady as Investors Eye Friday’s Inflation Data Gold prices are treading water ahead of Friday’s key economic release: the PCE index, the Fed’s go-to inflation gauge. Spot gold hovers near $3,400 an ounce, with December futures at $3,447.  Here’s what to watch: Markets are practically certain of a September rate cut, with CME’s FedWatch showing 88% odds. But Fed officials aren’t rushing to judgment. New York Fed President John Williams wants to see the data first, and July’s PCE is expected to hold steady at 2.6% year-over-year. The core reading — stripping out volatile food and energy — should