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US Retail Sales Fall 0.9% in January, Biggest Drop in a Year

January 2025 saw retail sales fall 0.9%, marking the steepest monthly decline in a year and significantly exceeding economists’ expected 0.2% drop.

The slump was broad-based, with sporting goods leading the downturn at 4.6% and auto sales falling 2.8%.

Economists attribute the decline to post-holiday spending fatigue and severe winter weather. While inflation readings remain mixed, analysts project the Fed’s preferred inflation measure (Core PCE) will show improvement, dropping to 2.6% from December’s 2.8%.

However, markets are now pricing in a delayed timeline for Federal Reserve rate cuts, with less than 50% probability of a cut before July.

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Gold During the 1929 Crash: What History Tells Us
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Gold During the 1929 Crash: What History Tells Us

When the Dow lost 89.2% between 1929 and 1932, gold preserved its purchasing power. Across every major crisis since — 2000, 2008, 2020 — the same pattern held. Here’s what the historical record says about gold during a stock market crash, and what investors did differently.

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