A Bank Just Said the Fed Isn’t Done Hiking. Here’s the Math on What That Does to Gold.

Real yields just hit a multi-session high, and a Nomura strategist says the Fed has room to push them further. Here’s the mechanism behind gold’s price ceiling, the crowded positioning that could sharpen a pullback, and why the Street’s own targets haven’t moved.

The National Debt Hit $40 Trillion. Jefferies Just Turned Bullish on Gold.

The national debt crossed $40 trillion on August 18, five months after it crossed $39 trillion. Three days later Jefferies turned bullish on gold and named the fiscal arithmetic, not the Fed, as the reason. Here is the mechanism, and the one number almost nobody is quoting.

Garner Calls a $3,600 Floor. Is Gold Going Lower?

Gold hit an all-time high of $5,589 on January 28, 2026. It is trading around $4,024 today. A new Fed Chair is explicitly trying to reverse the monetary policy trend that drove it there. Here is whether that changes anything for long-term holders.

172,000 Jobs Doubled the Forecast. Thursday’s Report Could Move Gold Again.

Every month, one government report moves gold’s paper price more than almost anything else. Thursday’s June jobs report is no different. Here’s the mechanism behind the move — and a three-scenario framework for what each outcome means for gold before 8:30 AM ET.

Rate Hike Odds Just Hit 85%. Gold Is Up. Here’s Why.

Rate hike odds just hit 85%. Gold is up anyway. Most headlines won’t explain why — because the answer requires flipping the standard model upside down. The number that actually drives gold isn’t the fed funds rate. It’s the real yield. Here’s the mechanism.

Gold at $4,454 Says the Fed Is Trapped. Here’s Why.

Friday’s jobs report doesn’t just move gold for 48 hours. This time it sets the stage for Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC meeting, a divided committee, and 3.8 percent inflation the Fed can’t cut through. Three scenarios. One structural trap. Here’s the framework before the number drops.

What Backs the US Dollar? Not Gold. Not Silver.

Since Nixon closed the gold window in 1971, the dollar has lost 87% of its purchasing power. Here’s the structural mechanism behind that — and why it’s not reversible.

Gold Won’t Break. The Fed Just Told You Why.

The Fed just released its most hawkish minutes in over a decade. December rate hike odds hit 40%. The dollar surged. Gold barely moved. That non-reaction is not confusion — it’s the market pricing a structural ceiling on how far this Fed can actually tighten. Here’s the mechanism behind it.

Kevin Warsh Wants to Fix the Fed. The Math Says He Can’t.

Kevin Warsh arrived at the Fed with a bold agenda — shrink the balance sheet, normalize policy, restore credibility. But with $6.7 trillion in assets, global bond yields at multi-decade highs, and markets pricing in rate hikes instead of cuts, the math is working against him. Alan breaks down why the plan may be dead on arrival and what it means for gold.

Jobs Beat, Ceasefire, Deficit: What It Means for Gold

April payrolls smashed forecasts, the U.S.-Iran ceasefire held under pressure, and the OMB projected a $2.065 trillion deficit. Gold barely moved. Five briefs explain why the structural case for physical gold is stronger than any single headline.