Trump Declared the Ceasefire Over. Gold Barely Moved.

Trump declared the Iran ceasefire over on July 10. Gold fell 0.5%. Here is the mechanism that explains why geopolitical risk has been suppressing gold prices all year — and why Tuesday’s CPI print matters far more than any missile strike.

How Do Gold Price Cycles Work? A Framework Across Four Time Horizons

Gold price cycles operate across four distinct time horizons — from 40-year structural waves to annual seasonal patterns. Here is the complete framework.

The Fed Just Named AI as Its Top Inflation Threat. Gold Noticed.

NY Fed President John Williams says AI-driven demand is now his biggest inflation concern — and that the Fed would “need to respond” if it persists. Here’s why that’s a gold story, not just a tech story, and what to watch before July 14.

Five Days From Now, Two Numbers Will Decide Gold’s Second Half

Gold is trading at $4,134 today as two market-moving events converge on Monday, July 14. June CPI drops at 8:30 AM ET. Fed Chair Warsh testifies 90 minutes later. Here’s the exact mechanism connecting both to gold and silver prices — and three scenarios for what happens next.

Bank of America Cut Its Gold Forecast. The Reason Is More Bullish Than It Looks.

Bank of America cut its 2026 average gold price forecast by 14% to $4,360 an ounce on July 8, citing a more hawkish Federal Reserve. The same research note preserved the bank’s $5,000 per ounce in reach target — and the reason it couldn’t raise rates aggressively enough to end the thesis is the story most coverage missed.

China Just Bought Its Most Gold Since 2023. It Did It During the Quarter Gold Fell 16%.

The People’s Bank of China added 14.93 tonnes of gold in June 2026, its largest single-month purchase since 2023 and its 20th consecutive month of buying. It happened during gold’s worst quarterly decline in thirteen years. Here is why the world’s most sophisticated reserve managers keep buying regardless of what the price does.

How the Jobs Report Moves Gold and Silver: The Five-Step Chain Behind Every Move

When the U.S. jobs report misses expectations, gold and silver prices typically rise. When payrolls beat, they fall. The relationship runs through a specific five-step chain — and once you understand it, the monthly reaction stops being a mystery.

What Is Financial Repression? The Four-Move Government Debt Playbook, Explained.

What is financial repression? It is one of four moves governments make when debt becomes unmanageable. As of mid-2026, it is the one already running. GoldSilver’s Maggie Lake and David Morgan of The Morgan Report explain the full playbook, the gold revaluation math, and why physical metal sits outside all four.

Warsh Sat Out the Dot Plot. The FOMC Minutes Drop Wednesday.

The Federal Reserve releases the FOMC minutes from its June 16–17 meeting on Wednesday, July 8 at 2:00 p.m. ET. The committee came out nine to nine on whether to raise rates in 2026. Here is what the minutes will reveal — and why the real-yield mechanism makes them the most important data point for gold holders this week.

Gold Hits 3-Week High as Fed Hike Odds Halve on Jobs Miss

June’s jobs report added just 57,000 positions — less than half the forecast. Fed rate hike odds for July 29 fell to 22%. Gold hit a 3-week high. Here’s the mechanism.