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The Cup, the Handle, and Gold’s ‘Final Third’ Phase

Brandon Sauerwein, Editor

The Cup, the Handle, and Gold's 'Final Third' Phase

History may not repeat itself exactly, but it often rhymes — especially in the gold market.

There are some uncanny similarity between today’s gold market and the legendary 1970s bull run. When adjusted for scale, the patterns align almost perfectly, hinting that we could be on the brink of a powerful surge that outpaces anything we’ve seen before.

But there’s a crucial difference this time: gold is rising while currencies are losing value.

Mike and Alan dive deep into what this means for precious metals investors — and why this moment could be historic.

Why This Gold Bull Market Could Outperform the 1970s

Why This Gold Bull Market Could Outperform the 1970s

Alan Hibbard uncovered a striking chart overlaying today’s gold price with the iconic 1970s rally — and the pattern lines up almost perfectly. If history continues to rhyme, we may be on the brink of a historic surge that sends gold soaring to $9,000 per ounce.

What’s different this time? Instead of a crash or bubble burst, we could see a full monetary system reset that keeps gold at unprecedented highs.

The Hidden Truth About U.S. Housing Costs —  
And Why Gold Is Your Best Defense

Mortgage rates are volatile. Home prices sit at historic highs. And inflation devours your savings daily. If homeownership feels impossibly expensive, you’re not alone. But here’s what they’re not telling you:

When measured in gold instead of dollars, monthly mortgage payments have actually decreased over time.

That’s right. While dollar prices explode, the real cost of housing — measured in sound money — has fallen.

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Market Pulse: This Week in the News

📊 Metals Price Update 

  • Gold prices are at $3,365/oz — up 28.2% YTD
  • Silver is at $37,86/oz — up 30.9% YTD

If they keep this pace? Their annualized returns would be approximately: 

  • Gold: 51.6%
  • Silver: 57.0% 

🔥 Gold’s Hot Streak Continues
Gold just posted its longest winning streak since February, climbing over 3% in four sessions to around $3,383/oz. The catalyst? Growing fears of a U.S. economic slowdown are driving safe-haven demand, while traders bet on a September rate cut. With services stagnating and labor markets weakening, there’s now a 90% chance the Fed will ease policy — music to gold investors’ ears.

🏦 Fed Stands Pat on Rates (For Now)
At its July meeting, the Fed kept rates steady last week, despite political pressure for cuts. But here’s the interesting part: two Fed members broke ranks and voted to cut — first time we’ve seen that kind of dissent in decades. Translation? Rate cuts are likely coming soon, just not yet.

🧾 Trump’s Accusations Spark Jobs Debate
July’s jobs report was ugly — just 73,000 jobs added versus expectations. Plus, they revised May and June numbers down by 258,000 jobs. That’s not a rounding error, folks. Some are crying foul, but economists say these revisions are normal. Either way, the trend is clear: the job market is cooling fast.

💰 Citi Raises 3-Month Gold Forecast: $3,500
Citi just bumped their gold target to $3,500 (was $3,300). Their reasoning? Take your pick: new tariffs, weak jobs data, inflation fears, or a wobbly dollar. With an increased chance of September rate cuts now priced in, big banks are finally catching up to what gold bugs have known all along.

🔐 Shanghai Can’t Get Enough Gold
Here’s a number that caught our eye: 36 tons of gold just hit Shanghai warehouse records. Chinese traders are playing the arbitrage game between futures and physical, but the real story is simpler — demand is through the roof. When the world’s biggest gold buyer stockpiles at record levels, pay attention.

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If you’ve ever tried buying physical silver, you’ve probably noticed the price is always higher than the “silver spot price” you see online. That gap — the premium — covers real-world costs like minting, shipping, and dealer margins. Understanding this difference is key to making smarter silver investments and avoiding costly mistakes.

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Latest News

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Gold Rebounds as Bitcoin Cracks and Bubble Warnings Mount

Gold bounced back nearly 1% on Wednesday after hitting one-week lows, driven by bargain-hunting and risk-off sentiment. The move comes as the World Economic Forum warned of three potential bubbles—crypto, AI, and sovereign debt. Bitcoin validated those concerns, briefly crashing below $100,000 and wiping out billions in leveraged positions. Plus: the Supreme Court weighs in on tariff powers, and NYC elects its youngest mayor in a century.

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They’ve Put a Floor Under Gold and Silver Prices
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At the New Orleans Investment Conference, Mike Maloney and Alan Hibbard reveal why central banks’ steady gold and silver buying has created a lasting price floor — signaling that smart money is positioning early, not late.

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AI Bubble Warnings Flash as Gold Slips Below $4,000

Gold dipped below $4,000 Tuesday as fading Fed rate cut hopes and a stronger dollar pressured precious metals. The pullback comes despite Treasury confirming inflation remains “above target” at 3%—exactly the environment where gold historically thrives as an inflation hedge. Meanwhile, tech stocks tumbled on AI bubble fears and Bitcoin hit two-week lows, suggesting widespread de-risking rather than rotation into traditional safe havens.

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