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$80 Billion Gold Rush to US Markets Halts After Tariff Exemption

The massive flow of gold and silver into the US has abruptly ended following exemptions to Donald Trump’s tariffs on precious metals.

For months, fears of potential tariffs created unusually high price premiums in New York compared to global markets, incentivizing traders to ship over $80 billion worth of bullion to the US.

This arbitrage opportunity distorted US trade data, even contributing to a record trade deficit in January. After the exemption announcement, price differentials collapsed immediately – the gap between US and London gold prices dropped from $62 to $23 per ounce, while silver’s premium fell from over $1 to just 24 cents.

US precious metal inventories had reached all-time highs, with gold stocks up 26.5 million ounces and silver up 174.6 million ounces since November.

Gold coins resting on a financial bar chart, illustrating why strong GDP data affects the gold price
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Q1 GDP Beat. Jobless Claims Beat. Gold Rose. Here’s Why.

Strong GDP data is actually bad news for gold’s paper price. When the economy grows faster than expected, the Federal Reserve gains permission to raise interest rates — and higher rates increase the cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Here’s the mechanism, what June 25’s triple data release confirmed, and what it leaves unchanged for long-term holders.

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GoldSilver video thumbnail showing hosts Maggie Lake and Tavi Costa with the text "Miners Are Printing Money" against a backdrop of gold bars, silver coins, a mining excavator, and a falling stock chart
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Why Is Silver’s Mining Margin So Wide? Tavi Costa Explains

Silver’s recent price drop looks significant. The math behind it tells a different story. Macro strategist Tavi Costa breaks down why the $46 spread between silver’s spot price and its average mining cost is the widest in recorded history — and why that number matters far more than where silver traded last week.

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Hands in business attire holding a 999.9 fine gold bar on a trading floor, illustrating the divergence between gold ETF outflows and central bank gold buying in 2026
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298 Tonnes of ETF Gold Is Underwater. Central Banks Aren’t.

Approximately 298 tonnes of gold inside ETFs is currently held at a loss at current price levels — a structural ceiling on any near-term recovery. At the same time, the WGC’s 2026 survey found a record 45% of central banks plan to add to their reserves. Two markets. One metal. Very different time horizons.

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Latest News

Gold coins resting on a financial bar chart, illustrating why strong GDP data affects the gold price
News

Q1 GDP Beat. Jobless Claims Beat. Gold Rose. Here’s Why.

Strong GDP data is actually bad news for gold’s paper price. When the economy grows faster than expected, the Federal Reserve gains permission to raise interest rates — and higher rates increase the cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold. Here’s the mechanism, what June 25’s triple data release confirmed, and what it leaves unchanged for long-term holders.

Read More »
GoldSilver video thumbnail showing hosts Maggie Lake and Tavi Costa with the text "Miners Are Printing Money" against a backdrop of gold bars, silver coins, a mining excavator, and a falling stock chart
Videos

Why Is Silver’s Mining Margin So Wide? Tavi Costa Explains

Silver’s recent price drop looks significant. The math behind it tells a different story. Macro strategist Tavi Costa breaks down why the $46 spread between silver’s spot price and its average mining cost is the widest in recorded history — and why that number matters far more than where silver traded last week.

Read More »

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She laughed and guided me through, step by step. She was so helpful in explaining everything... 

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