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December PPI: Wholesale Inflation Eases, Beating Market Expectations

December’s Producer Price Index revealed encouraging signs for inflation control, with wholesale prices rising less than anticipated at 3.3% annually and 0.2% monthly, falling below economist projections of 3.5% and 0.4% respectively. While core prices, excluding volatile food and energy components, edged up to 3.5% year-over-year from November’s 3.4%, they remained below the expected 3.8% increase. The data arrives at a crucial moment as markets assess the Federal Reserve’s potential rate decisions for 2024, with current projections showing limited likelihood of rate cuts until at least mid-year. This report, coupled with upcoming CPI data, will be pivotal in shaping expectations for monetary policy adjustments, particularly given recent strong labor market indicators that suggest the Fed may need additional evidence of cooling inflation before implementing rate cuts.

 
Silver Holds Near $80 as Iran Ceasefire Revives Rate-Cut Bets
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Silver Holds Near $80 as Iran Ceasefire Revives Rate-Cut Bets

Silver surged more than 5% Tuesday and is holding near $80 — the highest level since March. The move isn’t simple. When the US and Israel launched their air campaign against Iran, gold fell 10% instead of rising. The reason was oil, the Strait of Hormuz, and an inflation shock that killed rate-cut expectations. The Iran ceasefire is now reversing all three dynamics at once — and silver is responding through both its monetary and industrial demand channels. Here’s the mechanism, the data, and the one date every precious metals investor should have on their radar.

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Dow to Gold Ratio: 100 Years of History Decoded
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Dow to Gold Ratio: 100 Years of History Decoded

Gold has gained roughly 15.6% since January 1, 2026, while the Dow is up just 2.7% over the same stretch. That gap doesn’t register in most financial headlines — but the Dow to gold ratio captures it with precision. Right now, the ratio reads approximately 10: it takes around 10 ounces of gold to match one unit of the Dow index. At the dot-com peak in 1999, it took 43. What does that shift tell us, and where does it go from here?

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Silver Holds Near $80 as Iran Ceasefire Revives Rate-Cut Bets
News

Silver Holds Near $80 as Iran Ceasefire Revives Rate-Cut Bets

Silver surged more than 5% Tuesday and is holding near $80 — the highest level since March. The move isn’t simple. When the US and Israel launched their air campaign against Iran, gold fell 10% instead of rising. The reason was oil, the Strait of Hormuz, and an inflation shock that killed rate-cut expectations. The Iran ceasefire is now reversing all three dynamics at once — and silver is responding through both its monetary and industrial demand channels. Here’s the mechanism, the data, and the one date every precious metals investor should have on their radar.

Read More »

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