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Fed Independence Fears Drive Investors Away from US Assets

Financial markets showed significant volatility on Monday as investors responded to President Trump’s threats to dismiss Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell. The dollar fell to its lowest level since late 2023, while US stocks declined and Treasury bonds showed mixed performance.

Trump’s comments, along with his aggressive trade tariffs, have heightened recession fears and raised questions about the independence of the Federal Reserve. Market experts warn that undermining the Fed’s independence could worsen any economic downturn and threaten the dollar’s status as a safe-haven currency.

Despite Trump’s calls for interest rate cuts, many economists believe the Fed may proceed more cautiously than markets expect. Meanwhile, several major Wall Street firms, including Citigroup, Bank of America, and BlackRock, have recently downgraded their outlook on US stocks as trade tensions continue to impact economic growth projections.

gold price drop after May CPI report — fuel pump nozzle held over a gold coin on dark slate surface
News

May CPI Printed 4.2%. Core Inflation Beat. So Why Did the Gold Price Drop?

May CPI came in at 4.2% — the fastest pace since early 2023 — and the gold price fell nearly $100 to 11-week lows. But the headline is almost entirely an energy story: gasoline is up 40.5% year-over-year while core CPI rose just 0.2% for the month, below forecast and down sharply from April. The market sold gold on a number it was already expecting. The data behind that number tells a different story.

Read More »
How Gold Price Is Set: The East-West Tide Explained
Articles

How Gold Price Is Set: The East-West Tide Explained

For 90 years, gold has moved in a recurring tide between Western financial markets and Eastern physical holders. Understanding who sets the price — and why that mechanism is shifting — is the most useful mental model a gold investor can carry.

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Gold Is Down 9%. The CPI Print That Could Either Extend the Drop — or End It.
News

Gold Is Down 9%. The CPI Print That Could Either Extend the Drop — or End It.

Gold is down 9% from its April high near $4,800. Two forces drove the pullback: the Iran–Israel ceasefire unwound the geopolitical risk premium, and a blowout jobs report pushed Fed rate-hike odds to 68–70% by December. The May CPI print is the next catalyst. Here’s the mechanism behind the move — and what each scenario means for physical holders.

Read More »

Latest News

gold price drop after May CPI report — fuel pump nozzle held over a gold coin on dark slate surface
News

May CPI Printed 4.2%. Core Inflation Beat. So Why Did the Gold Price Drop?

May CPI came in at 4.2% — the fastest pace since early 2023 — and the gold price fell nearly $100 to 11-week lows. But the headline is almost entirely an energy story: gasoline is up 40.5% year-over-year while core CPI rose just 0.2% for the month, below forecast and down sharply from April. The market sold gold on a number it was already expecting. The data behind that number tells a different story.

Read More »
Gold Is Down 9%. The CPI Print That Could Either Extend the Drop — or End It.
News

Gold Is Down 9%. The CPI Print That Could Either Extend the Drop — or End It.

Gold is down 9% from its April high near $4,800. Two forces drove the pullback: the Iran–Israel ceasefire unwound the geopolitical risk premium, and a blowout jobs report pushed Fed rate-hike odds to 68–70% by December. The May CPI print is the next catalyst. Here’s the mechanism behind the move — and what each scenario means for physical holders.

Read More »

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