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Gold Retreats from 3-Month High as Trump’s Trade Policies Take Shape

Gold prices pulled back 0.4% to $2,744.49/oz following a three-month peak, with technical indicators suggesting an overbought position as the RSI reaches 64.

Markets are digesting President Trump’s proposed tariffs – 25% on Canada and Mexico, 10% on China, and potential levies on European imports starting February 1.

The precious metal’s trajectory toward $3,000 remains supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions, including Trump’s threats of sanctions against Russia over Ukraine.

The Fed’s upcoming January meeting adds another dimension, though rates are expected to hold steady with 96% probability.

Dow to Gold Ratio: 100 Years of History Decoded
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Dow to Gold Ratio: 100 Years of History Decoded

Gold has gained roughly 15.6% since January 1, 2026, while the Dow is up just 2.7% over the same stretch. That gap doesn’t register in most financial headlines — but the Dow to gold ratio captures it with precision. Right now, the ratio reads approximately 10: it takes around 10 ounces of gold to match one unit of the Dow index. At the dot-com peak in 1999, it took 43. What does that shift tell us, and where does it go from here?

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