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J.P. Morgan Raises Gold Forecast to $4,000/oz by Mid-2026 as Safe-Haven Demand Soars

Gold prices have surged 30% in 2025, reaching $3,500/oz in April amid trade uncertainty and geopolitical tensions.

J.P. Morgan analysts predict gold will average $3,675/oz by late 2025 and approach $4,000/oz by mid-2026.

The precious metal broke through $2,900/oz for the first time in February 2025, driven by U.S. tariff concerns and global instability.

Gold’s appeal stems from its role as both a safe-haven asset and inflation hedge. Analysts view gold as an optimal hedge against multiple risks including stagflation, recession, currency debasement, and policy uncertainty facing markets through 2026.

Gold bars stacked on US Treasury yield schedule and debt documents showing the tension between gold and government debt in 2026
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Gold Is Up 41% From a Year Ago. The Fed Can’t Stop It

Gold is trading at $4,648/oz — up 41% from a year ago, down 14% from January’s record. Both numbers are true. The one that matters is the 41%. It held through a war, three hawkish Fed holds, and the most fractured FOMC vote since 1992. Here’s why that gap between the record and today’s price is a floor, not a warning.

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Gold bar in front of a laptop displaying CPI and inflation charts — illustrating the gold inflation paradox
Articles

The Gold Inflation Paradox Most Investors Miss

Gold fell around 15% from its all-time high while inflation hit a nearly 3-year peak. The inflation-hedge narrative isn’t wrong — it’s incomplete. Here’s what the data really shows about gold and rising prices.

Read More »

Latest News

Gold bars stacked on US Treasury yield schedule and debt documents showing the tension between gold and government debt in 2026
News

Gold Is Up 41% From a Year Ago. The Fed Can’t Stop It

Gold is trading at $4,648/oz — up 41% from a year ago, down 14% from January’s record. Both numbers are true. The one that matters is the 41%. It held through a war, three hawkish Fed holds, and the most fractured FOMC vote since 1992. Here’s why that gap between the record and today’s price is a floor, not a warning.

Read More »

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