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Manufacturing Sector Shows Resilience in March Despite Overall Industrial Decline

U.S. manufacturing continued its positive trend in March, increasing 0.3% for the fifth straight month, with the sector growing at a robust 5.1% annualized pace in the first quarter of 2024. The automotive industry was particularly strong, with motor vehicle and parts production rising 1.2% following February’s significant 9.2% increase.

However, overall industrial production declined 0.3% in March, exceeding economists’ expectations of a 0.1% drop. This decline was primarily driven by utilities output plummeting 5.8% as warmer weather reduced energy demands. Mining output, which includes oil and natural gas production, grew moderately at 0.6%.

Despite manufacturing’s recent strength, economists express concern about its future prospects. Industry experts from Wells Fargo and Capital Economics point to multiple challenges facing the sector, including high capital costs, persistent labor shortages, and uncertainty surrounding trade policies.

Silver Holds Near $80 as Iran Ceasefire Revives Rate-Cut Bets
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Silver Holds Near $80 as Iran Ceasefire Revives Rate-Cut Bets

Silver surged more than 5% Tuesday and is holding near $80 — the highest level since March. The move isn’t simple. When the US and Israel launched their air campaign against Iran, gold fell 10% instead of rising. The reason was oil, the Strait of Hormuz, and an inflation shock that killed rate-cut expectations. The Iran ceasefire is now reversing all three dynamics at once — and silver is responding through both its monetary and industrial demand channels. Here’s the mechanism, the data, and the one date every precious metals investor should have on their radar.

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Dow to Gold Ratio: 100 Years of History Decoded
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Dow to Gold Ratio: 100 Years of History Decoded

Gold has gained roughly 15.6% since January 1, 2026, while the Dow is up just 2.7% over the same stretch. That gap doesn’t register in most financial headlines — but the Dow to gold ratio captures it with precision. Right now, the ratio reads approximately 10: it takes around 10 ounces of gold to match one unit of the Dow index. At the dot-com peak in 1999, it took 43. What does that shift tell us, and where does it go from here?

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Silver Holds Near $80 as Iran Ceasefire Revives Rate-Cut Bets
News

Silver Holds Near $80 as Iran Ceasefire Revives Rate-Cut Bets

Silver surged more than 5% Tuesday and is holding near $80 — the highest level since March. The move isn’t simple. When the US and Israel launched their air campaign against Iran, gold fell 10% instead of rising. The reason was oil, the Strait of Hormuz, and an inflation shock that killed rate-cut expectations. The Iran ceasefire is now reversing all three dynamics at once — and silver is responding through both its monetary and industrial demand channels. Here’s the mechanism, the data, and the one date every precious metals investor should have on their radar.

Read More »

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